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建立经济增长和恐怖主义对人类发展指数影响的模型:来自巴基斯坦的证据收集。

Modeling the impact of economic growth and terrorism on the human development index: collecting evidence from Pakistan.

机构信息

School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 10081, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Dec;25(34):34661-34673. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-3275-5. Epub 2018 Oct 15.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between economic growth, terrorism, and human development index time spanning 1990-2016 for Pakistan. An empirical result from the autoregressive distributive lag model (ARDL) recommends that there exists an insignificant relationship between electric power consumption and human development process against our expectation. Besides, more interestingly, the findings show that economic growth does not contribute to human development in Pakistan. Furthermore, urbanization positively contributes to human development. Also, terrorism worsens the human development index. These novel findings of the study would help the government officials and policymakers towards the productive use of funds. It suggests the officials to encourage urbanization in such a way that promotes human development index.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨 1990 年至 2016 年期间巴基斯坦经济增长、恐怖主义与人类发展指数之间的关系。自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)的实证结果表明,电力消费与人类发展进程之间存在着不符合预期的无显著关系。此外,更有趣的是,研究结果表明,经济增长无助于巴基斯坦的人类发展。此外,城市化对人类发展有积极贡献。而且,恐怖主义恶化了人类发展指数。本研究的这些新发现将有助于政府官员和政策制定者有效地利用资金。它建议官员们以促进人类发展指数的方式鼓励城市化。

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