Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Diabetologia. 2019 Jan;62(1):70-77. doi: 10.1007/s00125-018-4753-5. Epub 2018 Oct 20.
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to characterise longitudinal profiles of BMI from childhood and to examine the impact of level-independent childhood BMI trajectories on adult type 2 diabetes.
The longitudinal cohort consisted of 2449 adults (1613 white and 836 black) who had their BMI measured between four and 15 times from childhood (4-19 years) to adulthood (20-51 years) and fasting glucose measured in adulthood. Model-estimated levels and linear slopes of BMI at childhood age points were calculated in 1-year intervals using growth-curve parameters and their first derivatives, respectively.
BMI from childhood to adulthood fit cubic growth curves; linear and non-linear curve parameters differed significantly between race-sex groups. BMI showed race and sex differences from 15 years onwards. Individuals with hyperglycaemia had higher long-term BMI levels than those who were normoglycaemic in race-sex groups. Linear and non-linear slope parameters of BMI differed consistently and significantly between adult hyperglycaemia groups. The OR of childhood BMI levels for ages 4-19 years was 1.45-1.83 (p < 0.001 for all) for adult hyperglycaemia after adjustment for confounders. Level-adjusted linear slopes of BMI at ages 10-19 years showed significantly positive associations with adult hyperglycaemia (OR 1.17-1.50, p < 0.01 for all). The associations of childhood BMI linear slopes with adult hyperglycaemia were not significant during the age period 5-9 years. The trends in these associations were consistent across race-sex groups.
CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These observations indicate that childhood BMI trajectories have a significant impact on adult diabetes, independent of BMI levels. The adolescence age period is a crucial window for the development of diabetes in later life, which has implications for early-life prevention.
All data and materials are publicly available at the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Biologic Specimen and Data Repository and can be accessed at https://biolincc.nhlbi.nih.gov/studies/bhs .
目的/假设:本研究的目的是描述儿童时期 BMI 的纵向变化,并探讨水平独立的儿童 BMI 轨迹对成人 2 型糖尿病的影响。
该纵向队列包括 2449 名成年人(1613 名白人和 836 名黑人),他们在儿童期(4-19 岁)至成年期(20-51 岁)之间接受了 4 到 15 次 BMI 测量,并在成年期测量了空腹血糖。使用生长曲线参数及其一阶导数,分别在 1 年间隔内计算童年年龄点 BMI 的模型估计水平和线性斜率。
儿童期至成年期的 BMI 符合三次生长曲线;种族-性别组之间的线性和非线性曲线参数存在显著差异。BMI 从 15 岁开始存在种族和性别差异。在种族-性别组中,血糖升高的个体的长期 BMI 水平高于血糖正常的个体。BMI 的线性和非线性斜率参数在成人高血糖组之间始终存在显著差异。调整混杂因素后,儿童时期 BMI 水平在 4-19 岁时与成年高血糖的比值为 1.45-1.83(所有 p 值均<0.001)。10-19 岁时 BMI 的水平调整线性斜率与成年高血糖显著正相关(OR 1.17-1.50,所有 p 值均<0.01)。在 5-9 岁期间,儿童 BMI 线性斜率与成年高血糖的相关性不显著。这些关联的趋势在种族-性别组中是一致的。
结论/解释:这些观察结果表明,儿童时期 BMI 轨迹对成人糖尿病有显著影响,与 BMI 水平无关。青春期是生命后期发生糖尿病的关键窗口期,这对生命早期预防具有重要意义。
所有数据和材料均可在国家心肺血液研究所(NHLBI)生物样本和数据存储库中公开获取,可在 https://biolincc.nhlbi.nih.gov/studies/bhs 访问。