Takeuchi Motoki, Nihashi Takashi, Gafter-Gvili Anat, García-Gómez Francisco Javier, Andres Emmanuel, Blockmans Daniel, Iwata Mitsunaga, Terasawa Teruhiko
Department of Emergency and General Internal Medicine, Fujita Health University School of Medicine, Toyoake.
Department of Radiology, Komaki City Hospital, Komaki, Aichi, Japan.
Medicine (Baltimore). 2018 Oct;97(43):e12909. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000012909.
Spontaneous remission is common in patients with undiagnosed classic fever of unknown origin (FUO). Although identifying reliable predictors of spontaneous remission in such diagnostically challenging cases could improve their management strategies, few studies have assessed such clinical factors. Recently, studies have reported that F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (F-FDG PET) alone and integrated with computed tomography (PET/CT) were useful in localizing the source of FUO. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we assessed the association of results of these imaging modalities with spontaneous remission in patients with classic FUO.
We searched PubMed and Scopus from inception until June 30, 2018, and studies that evaluated the PET or PET/CT results of ≥10 adult or adolescent patients with classic FUO who were followed up for at least 3 months were included. At least 2 investigators extracted data and rated quality using the QUIPS-2 tool. We used a random-effects meta-analysis to calculate summary risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
Nine studies of PET/CT results (418 patients) and 4 studies of standalone PET results (128 patients) were eligible. None explicitly specified the incidence of spontaneous remission as the primary or secondary outcomes of interest. The risk of bias was considered high in all studies because patients received subsequent diagnostic workup based on imaging results. Patients with negative PET/CT results were significantly more likely to present with spontaneous regression than those with positive results (summary RR = 5.6; 95% CI: 3.4-9.2; P < .001; I = 0%). In contrast, no significant association was found between standalone PET results and spontaneous remission. The random-effects study-level meta-regression found that PET/CT results [relative RR (rRR) = 7.4; 95% CI: 2.5-21.3; P = .002], compared with standalone PET results, and publication year (rRR = 1.2 per 1 year; 95% CI: 1.0-1.3; P = .013) were significantly associated with spontaneous remission.
Limited data suggest that undiagnosed classic FUO patients with negative PET/CT results had a high likelihood of spontaneous remission after a series of unsuccessful investigations for fever workup. Prospective studies should validate these results.
在未确诊的经典型不明原因发热(FUO)患者中,自发缓解很常见。尽管在这些诊断具有挑战性的病例中确定自发缓解的可靠预测因素可以改善其管理策略,但很少有研究评估此类临床因素。最近,研究报告称,单独的F-氟脱氧葡萄糖正电子发射断层扫描(F-FDG PET)以及与计算机断层扫描相结合(PET/CT)有助于定位FUO的来源。在这项系统评价和荟萃分析中,我们评估了这些成像方式的结果与经典型FUO患者自发缓解之间的关联。
我们检索了从数据库建立至2018年6月30日的PubMed和Scopus数据库,纳入了评估≥10例成年或青少年经典型FUO患者的PET或PET/CT结果且随访至少3个月的研究。至少2名研究人员使用QUIPS-2工具提取数据并评估质量。我们使用随机效应荟萃分析来计算汇总风险比(RRs)及95%置信区间(CIs)。
9项关于PET/CT结果的研究(418例患者)和4项关于单独PET结果的研究(128例患者)符合要求。没有研究明确将自发缓解的发生率指定为主要或次要关注结局。由于患者根据影像学结果接受了后续诊断检查,所有研究中的偏倚风险均被认为较高。PET/CT结果为阴性的患者比结果为阳性的患者更有可能出现自发消退(汇总RR = 5.6;95% CI:3.4 - 9.2;P <.001;I² = 0%)。相比之下,单独的PET结果与自发缓解之间未发现显著关联。随机效应研究水平的荟萃回归发现,与单独的PET结果相比,PET/CT结果[相对RR(rRR)= 7.4;95% CI:2.5 - 21.3;P = 0.002]以及发表年份(rRR = 每年1.2;95% CI:1.0 - 1.3;P = 0.013)与自发缓解显著相关。
有限的数据表明,在一系列发热检查未成功后,PET/CT结果为阴性的未确诊经典型FUO患者自发缓解的可能性很高。前瞻性研究应验证这些结果。