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厘清风险与不确定性:当冒险措施与风险无关时。

Disentangling Risk and Uncertainty: When Risk-Taking Measures Are Not About Risk.

作者信息

De Groot Kristel, Thurik Roy

机构信息

Department of Applied Economics, Erasmus School of Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

Erasmus University Rotterdam Institute for Behaviour and Biology, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2018 Nov 15;9:2194. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2018.02194. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

Many studies claim to measure decision-making under risk by employing the Domain-Specific Risk-Taking (DOSPERT) scale, a self-report measure, or the Balloon Analogue Risk Task (BART), a behavioural task. However, these tasks do not measure decision-making under risk but decision-making under uncertainty, a related but distinct concept. The present commentary discusses both the theoretical and empirical basis of the distinction between uncertainty and risk from the viewpoint of several scientific disciplines and reports how many studies wrongfully employ the DOSPERT scale and BART as risk-taking measures. Importantly, we call for proper distinguishing between (tasks measuring) decision-making under uncertainty and decision-making under risk in psychology, and related fields. We believe this is vital as research has shown that people's attitudes, behaviour, and brain activity differ between both concepts, indicating that confusing the concepts may lead researchers to erroneous conclusions.

摘要

许多研究声称通过使用特定领域风险承担(DOSPERT)量表(一种自我报告测量方法)或气球模拟风险任务(BART,一种行为任务)来测量风险下的决策。然而,这些任务并非测量风险下的决策,而是测量不确定性下的决策,这是一个相关但不同的概念。本评论从几个科学学科的角度讨论了不确定性和风险之间区别的理论和实证基础,并报告了有多少研究错误地将DOSPERT量表和BART用作风险承担测量方法。重要的是,我们呼吁在心理学及相关领域中正确区分不确定性下的决策(测量任务)和风险下的决策。我们认为这至关重要,因为研究表明,人们在这两个概念下的态度、行为和大脑活动有所不同,这表明混淆这两个概念可能会导致研究人员得出错误的结论。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/81a8/6249320/f223ee1549e2/fpsyg-09-02194-g001.jpg

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