Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Scarman Rd, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
Human Flourishing Program, Harvard University, Boston, US.
Psychol Res. 2024 Nov;88(8):2234-2250. doi: 10.1007/s00426-024-02001-3. Epub 2024 Jul 10.
Emotions powerfully, predictably, and pervasively influence decision making. The risk-as-feelings hypothesis states that two kinds of emotions are important in decision-making, anticipatory emotions and anticipated emotions. We empirically investigated whether and how anticipatory and anticipated emotions may change as a function of outcome values and whether anticipatory or anticipated emotions may explain the influence of outcome values on risky choice. To study the effects of value on emotions and choice, we offered people hypothetical large amounts ($100, $200, $300, $400) and incentivized moderate amounts ($10, $20, $30, $40) as prospects in gambles over two consecutive studies. Using a representative sample from the US to ensure the generalizability of the findings, each participant in our two studies made choices in gain and loss domains. Overall, anticipatory and anticipated emotions responded very similarly to changes in value for the sure gains in both studies. The findings also indicated that both anticipatory and anticipated emotions explained the effects of the value on choice for the sure gain and sure losses, while both mediated the effect of framing on choice towards the sure and the gamble option. Although anticipatory emotions mediated a larger portion of the effect, anticipated emotions also show some mediation.
情绪强烈、可预测且普遍地影响决策。风险即感觉假说指出,两种情绪在决策中很重要,即预期情绪和预期情绪。我们通过实证研究来调查预期情绪和预期情绪是否会随着结果价值的变化而变化,以及预期情绪或预期情绪是否可以解释结果价值对风险选择的影响。为了研究价值对情绪和选择的影响,我们在两个连续的研究中为人们提供了假设的大笔金额($100、$200、$300、$400)和激励适中的金额($10、$20、$30、$40)作为赌博的前景。为了确保研究结果的普遍性,我们从美国的代表性样本中招募了参与者,他们在两个研究中的增益和损失领域都进行了选择。总的来说,在两个研究中,对于确定的收益,预期情绪和预期情绪对价值的变化反应非常相似。研究结果还表明,预期情绪和预期情绪都解释了价值对确定收益和确定损失选择的影响,同时预期情绪和预期情绪都对框架对确定和赌博选项的选择的影响起到了中介作用。虽然预期情绪在影响中占了更大的比例,但预期情绪也显示出一些中介作用。