Department of Economics, Near East University, Near East Boulevard Via Mersin 10 Turkey, 99138, Nicosia/TRNC, Cyprus.
Department of Economics and Development Studies, Federal University Dutsin-ma, Dutsin-ma, Katsina State, Nigeria.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Jan;26(3):2939-2949. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-3854-5. Epub 2018 Nov 29.
New multidimensional indicators of vulnerability to disaster from external shocks were constructed using survey data covering 1750 respondents from rural Nigeria. Simple ordinary least squares and decomposition analysis were then used to examine the effect of recurrent shocks on livelihood diversification. The results elicited several findings. Although findings from the constructed vulnerability indices revealed overall high risks of disasters, females were disproportionally more vulnerable to cattle rustling. Conversely, both natural hazard-induced and cattle rustling-driven shocks have a strong negative impact on livelihood diversification. This effect is invariant regardless of the perceived gender of the respondents. Decomposition results show that recurrent shocks have moderate influences on inter-gender income disparities, as a larger proportion of the inequalities are explained by demographic characteristics. The findings point to a number of policy recommendations, most notably that the disaster prevention and management strategies should prioritise interventions that have a direct bearing on an individual's economic, human, and social capitals.
利用覆盖尼日利亚农村 1750 名受访者的调查数据，构建了新的多维对外冲击脆弱性指标。然后，使用简单的普通最小二乘法和分解分析来检验反复冲击对生计多样化的影响。结果得出了一些发现。尽管脆弱性指数的构建结果显示出总体上存在高灾害风险，但女性特别容易受到偷牛的影响。相反，无论是由自然灾害引起的还是由偷牛引起的冲击，都对生计多样化产生了强烈的负面影响。无论受访者的性别如何，这种影响都是不变的。分解结果表明，反复冲击对性别间收入差距有中等影响，因为人口特征解释了更多的不平等。这些发现提出了一些政策建议，特别是认为灾害预防和管理战略应优先考虑对个人经济、人力和社会资本有直接影响的干预措施。
