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冷藏人乳与早产儿感染的定量风险评估:一项模拟研究

Banked Human Milk and Quantitative Risk Assessment of Infection in Premature Infants: A Simulation Study.

作者信息

Lewin Antoine, Delage Gilles, Bernier France, Germain Marc

机构信息

Medical Affairs and Innovation, Héma-Québec, Montreal, QC, Canada.

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, QC, Canada.

出版信息

Can J Infect Dis Med Microbiol. 2019 Feb 3;2019:6348281. doi: 10.1155/2019/6348281. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Banked human milk (BHM) offers potential health benefits to premature babies. BHM is pasteurized to mitigate infectious risks, but pasteurization is ineffective against sporulating bacteria such as . Sepsis related to in premature infants is severe and can often be fatal. Even if a causal link has never been established, BHM has been suggested as a potential source of infection in premature infants.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to estimate the potential risk of infection in preterm infants caused by the ingestion of contaminated pasteurized BHM using different post-pasteurization release criteria (i.e., 9 sampling of 100 microliters versus the HMBANA guideline of 1 sampling of 100 microliters per pool).

METHODS

In the absence of scientific evidence regarding the risk of infection by the ingestion of BHM in premature infants, risk assessment using Monte Carlo simulation with the exponential dose-response model was performed. Three scenarios of infectious risk (annual incidence rate of 0.01%, 0.13%, and 0.2%) with 18 variations of the virulent dose (from 0.5 CFU/ml to 200 CFU/ml) were simulated.

RESULTS

The mean risk differential between the two methods of post-pasteurization bacteriological control for realistic infectious doses of 30 to 200 CFU/ml ranges from 0.036 to 0.0054, 0.47 to 0.070, and 0.72 to 0.11 per million servings, for each of the three scenarios.

CONCLUSION

Simulation highlights the very small risk of infection following the ingestion of pasteurized BHM, even in the worst case scenarios, and suggests that a 100-microliter sample for post-pasteurization culture is sufficient.

摘要

背景

储存的人乳(BHM)对早产儿具有潜在的健康益处。BHM经过巴氏杀菌以降低感染风险,但巴氏杀菌对诸如芽孢杆菌等产芽孢细菌无效。与早产儿芽孢杆菌感染相关的败血症很严重,且往往会致命。即使从未建立因果联系,但BHM已被认为是早产儿潜在的感染源。

目的

我们的目的是使用不同的巴氏杀菌后放行标准(即每100微升9次采样与HMBANA指南中每池100微升1次采样)来估计早产儿因摄入受污染的巴氏杀菌BHM而感染芽孢杆菌的潜在风险。

方法

在缺乏关于早产儿摄入BHM感染芽孢杆菌风险的科学证据的情况下,使用指数剂量反应模型通过蒙特卡洛模拟进行风险评估。模拟了三种感染风险情况(年发病率为0.01%、0.13%和0.2%)以及18种芽孢杆菌毒力剂量变化(从0.5 CFU/ml到200 CFU/ml)。

结果

对于三种情况中的每一种,在实际感染剂量为30至200 CFU/ml时,两种巴氏杀菌后细菌学控制方法之间的平均风险差异分别为每百万份0.036至0.0054、0.47至0.070和0.72至0.11。

结论

模拟结果表明,即使在最坏的情况下,摄入巴氏杀菌BHM后感染芽孢杆菌的风险也非常小,并表明用于巴氏杀菌后培养的100微升样本就足够了。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/85c0/6378033/0b2bd2f86be3/CJIDMM2019-6348281.001.jpg

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