Department of Food Safety and Quality Management, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Belgrade, 11080 Zemun-Belgrade, Serbia.
Department of Food Technology, Alexander Technological Educational Institute of Thessaloniki, 57400 Thessaloniki, Greece.
Toxins (Basel). 2019 Apr 5;11(4):205. doi: 10.3390/toxins11040205.
The objective of this research was to perform an exposure assessment of aflatoxin M1 (AFM1) intake through the consumption of milk and yoghurt by the student population in Serbia and Greece. A food consumption survey of milk and yoghurt was performed during the first half of 2018 in the two countries with at least 500 interviewees (aged between 18 and 27 years) per country, covering their dietary habits and body weight based on one-day and seven-day recall methods. Values for the concentration of AFM1 were extracted from published research. Finally, a Monte Carlo analysis of 100,000 iterations was performed to estimate the intake of AFM1 from the consumption of the two dairy products. Results revealed that the estimated average exposure of students to AFM1 was in the range of 1.238⁻2.674 ng kg bw day for Serbia, and 0.350⁻0.499 ng kg bw day for Greece, depending on the dietary recall method employed. High estimations for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases/year/10⁵ individuals, depending on the prevalence of Hepatitis B virus surface antigen positive individuals (HBsAg+), were 0.0036⁻0.0047 and 0.0007⁻0.0009 for Serbia and Greece, respectively. Presented Margin of Exposure (MOE) and Hazard Index (HI) values indicate increased risk from exposure to AFM1, particularly in Serbia.
本研究旨在通过对塞尔维亚和希腊学生群体消费牛奶和酸奶的情况进行黄曲霉毒素 M1(AFM1)摄入量的暴露评估。在这两个国家,于 2018 年上半年进行了一项关于牛奶和酸奶消费的食物摄入量调查,每个国家至少有 500 名受访者(年龄在 18 至 27 岁之间),根据一天和七天的回忆方法,涵盖了他们的饮食习惯和体重。从已发表的研究中提取了 AFM1 浓度值。最后,通过进行 100,000 次迭代的蒙特卡罗分析来估算从两种乳制品消费中摄入的 AFM1 量。结果表明,根据所采用的膳食回忆方法,学生群体对 AFM1 的估计平均暴露量在塞尔维亚为 1.238⁻2.674ngkgbwday,在希腊为 0.350⁻0.499ngkgbwday。根据乙型肝炎病毒表面抗原阳性个体(HBsAg+)的流行率,每年每 105 个人中肝细胞癌(HCC)病例的高估计值分别为塞尔维亚的 0.0036⁻0.0047 和希腊的 0.0007⁻0.0009。提出的暴露边际(MOE)和危害指数(HI)值表明,暴露于 AFM1 存在较高风险,特别是在塞尔维亚。