Hart J T, Humphreys C
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1987 Apr 4;294(6576):871-4. doi: 10.1136/bmj.294.6576.871.
General practitioners' medical records of a geographically defined population of about 1600-1800 have been retained since 1964. Details of care by general practitioners and hospital correspondence were available for 500 deaths (277 men, 223 women) from 1964 to 1985, including deaths at home, at work, in the street, in short term and long term institutional care, and within six months of release from institutional care. The periods 1964-73 and 1974-85 were compared. The proportion of men aged greater than or equal to 80 who died increased from 20 (14%) in 1964-73 to 22 (16%) in 1974-85, but the proportion of women aged greater than or equal to 80 who died increased from 21 (23%) to 50 (39%). Of all deaths, 223 (45%) were thought to have had avoidable causal factors, of which 132 (59%) were attributed to patients, 45 (20%) to the general practitioner, 9 (4%) to hospitals, and 37 (17%) to others. The number of deaths related to smoking decreased from 31 (43%) in men aged less than 70 to 19 (30%) but in women aged less than 70 increased from 4 (10%) to 11 (26%). The proportion of deaths in women who were already dependent six months before death increased from 55 (58%) to 81 (63%) but in men remained constant at 64 (46%) in the first period and 62 (46%) in the second. Nearly two thirds of all deaths occurred at home in both periods--about twice the proportion for England and Wales--but the proportion of men dying at home decreased from 87 (62%) to 76 (56%). A critical analysis of deaths in whole populations by primary care teams can identify changes that are needed both in the work and organisation of the team and in the behaviour of the population itself.
自1964年以来,已保存了一个地理区域内约1600 - 1800人的全科医生医疗记录。1964年至1985年期间,有500例死亡(277名男性,223名女性)的全科医生护理细节和医院信件可供查阅,包括在家中、工作场所、街道、短期和长期机构护理中以及从机构护理出院后六个月内的死亡情况。对1964 - 1973年和1974 - 1985年这两个时期进行了比较。80岁及以上男性的死亡比例从1964 - 1973年的20例(14%)增加到1974 - 1985年的22例(16%),但80岁及以上女性的死亡比例从21例(23%)增加到50例(39%)。在所有死亡病例中,223例(45%)被认为存在可避免的因果因素,其中132例(59%)归因于患者,45例(20%)归因于全科医生,9例(4%)归因于医院,37例(17%)归因于其他方面。与吸烟相关的死亡人数在70岁以下男性中从31例(43%)降至19例(30%),但在70岁以下女性中从4例(10%)增至11例(26%)。在死亡前六个月就已依赖他人的女性死亡比例从55例(58%)增至81例(63%),但男性在第一个时期保持在64例(46%),第二个时期为62例(46%),保持不变。在这两个时期,近三分之二的死亡发生在家中——约为英格兰和威尔士比例的两倍——但在家中死亡的男性比例从87例(62%)降至76例(56%)。基层医疗团队对整个人口中死亡情况的批判性分析可以确定团队工作和组织以及人群自身行为方面需要做出的改变。