Jiang Na, Xu Xianrong
Department of Respiration, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Medicine (Baltimore). 2019 May;98(20):e15642. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000015642.
The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical factors affecting the survival prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma, and to establish a predictive model of survival prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma by artificial neural network.Download the cancer genome atlas (TCGA) database for lung adenocarcinoma research data, perform cox regression analysis and descriptive statistics on the obtained clinical data, draw the survival curve by Kaplan-Meier method, select the independent variables that are statistically significant for constructing the artificial neural networks (ANN) model, and establish artificial neural network model.The number of valid cases included in the study was 524, including 280 men and 244 women, with an age range of 33 to 88 years, mean age 66.87 years, and median progression-free survival (PFS) was 37.7 months. The median overall survival time (OS) was 41.1 months. Cox multivariate analysis showed that smoking history, tumor stage, and surgical margin resection status were independently associated with PFS, and tumor stage and surgical margin resection status were independently associated with OS. The accuracy of the established ANN model itself was predicted to be 65.8%. The accuracy of correctly predicting the prognosis of the predicted samples was 75.0%, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.712.The clinical prognostic factors of lung adenocarcinoma include: smoking history, tumor stage, and surgical margin resection status. The established ANN model can be used to predict the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma.
本研究旨在探讨影响肺腺癌生存预后的临床因素,并通过人工神经网络建立肺腺癌生存预后预测模型。下载癌症基因组图谱(TCGA)数据库中的肺腺癌研究数据,对获得的临床数据进行Cox回归分析和描述性统计,采用Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线,选择对构建人工神经网络(ANN)模型有统计学意义的自变量,建立人工神经网络模型。本研究纳入的有效病例数为524例,其中男性280例,女性244例,年龄范围为33至88岁,平均年龄66.87岁,无进展生存期(PFS)中位数为37.7个月。总生存期(OS)中位数为41.1个月。Cox多因素分析显示,吸烟史、肿瘤分期和手术切缘切除状态与PFS独立相关,肿瘤分期和手术切缘切除状态与OS独立相关。所建立的ANN模型本身预测准确率为65.8%。对预测样本预后的正确预测准确率为75.0%,受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.712。肺腺癌的临床预后因素包括:吸烟史、肿瘤分期和手术切缘切除状态。所建立的ANN模型可用于预测肺腺癌的预后。