Debray Thomas P A, de Jong Valentijn M T, Moons Karel G M, Riley Richard D
1Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Universiteitsweg 100, Utrecht, 3584 CG The Netherlands.
2Cochrane Netherlands, University Medical Center Utrecht, Universiteitsweg 100, Utrecht, 3584 CG The Netherlands.
Diagn Progn Res. 2019 Jul 11;3:13. doi: 10.1186/s41512-019-0059-4. eCollection 2019.
Over the past few years, evidence synthesis has become essential to investigate and improve the generalizability of medical research findings. This strategy often involves a meta-analysis to formally summarize quantities of interest, such as relative treatment effect estimates. The use of meta-analysis methods is, however, less straightforward in prognosis research because substantial variation exists in research objectives, analysis methods and the level of reported evidence. We present a gentle overview of statistical methods that can be used to summarize data of prognostic factor and prognostic model studies. We discuss how aggregate data, individual participant data, or a combination thereof can be combined through meta-analysis methods. Recent examples are provided throughout to illustrate the various methods.
在过去几年中,证据综合已成为调查和提高医学研究结果可推广性的关键。这种策略通常涉及荟萃分析,以正式总结感兴趣的量,如相对治疗效果估计值。然而,在预后研究中使用荟萃分析方法并不那么直接,因为研究目标、分析方法和报告证据的水平存在很大差异。我们简要概述了可用于总结预后因素和预后模型研究数据的统计方法。我们讨论了如何通过荟萃分析方法将汇总数据、个体参与者数据或两者的组合进行合并。文中自始至终提供了最新实例来说明各种方法。