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奶牛小母牛断奶前管理策略相关成本的经济分析。

An Economic Analysis of the Costs Associated with Pre-Weaning Management Strategies for Dairy Heifers.

作者信息

Hawkins Anna, Burdine Kenneth, Amaral-Phillips Donna, Costa Joao H C

机构信息

Department of Animal & Food Science, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506, USA.

Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506, USA.

出版信息

Animals (Basel). 2019 Jul 23;9(7):471. doi: 10.3390/ani9070471.

Abstract

Dairy calves are raised in various housing and feeding environments on dairy farms around North America. The objective of this study was to develop a simulation model to calculate the cost of raising replacement dairy heifers using different inputs that reflect different management decisions and evaluate their influence on the total cost. In this simulation, 84 calves were modeled between 0-2 months of age to reflect a 1000 heifer herd. The decisions associated with housing, liquid diet source and allowance, labor utilization, and health were calculated. Costs and biological responses were reflective of published surveys, literature, and market conditions. A 10,000-iteration economic simulation was used for each management scenario using @Risk and PrecisionTree add-ons (Palisade Corporation, Ithaca, NY, USA) to account for variation in pre-weaning mortality rate, weaning age, and disease prevalence. As milk allotment increased, total feed cost increased. Feeding calves a higher allowance of milk resulted in a lower cost per kg of gain. Average feed cost percentage of the total cost was 46% (min, max: 33%, 59%) while labor, and fixed and variable cost represented 33% (20%, 45%), 9% (2%, 12%), and 12% (10%, 14%), respectively. Total pre-weaning costs ranged from $258.56 to $582.98 per calf across all management scenarios and milk allotments.

摘要

北美各地的奶牛场在不同的饲养和喂养环境中饲养犊牛。本研究的目的是开发一个模拟模型,以计算使用反映不同管理决策的不同投入来饲养后备奶牛小母牛的成本,并评估它们对总成本的影响。在这个模拟中,对84头0至2月龄的犊牛进行建模,以反映一个1000头小母牛的牛群。计算了与饲养、流质日粮来源和供应量、劳动力利用和健康相关的决策。成本和生物学反应反映了已发表的调查、文献和市场情况。使用@Risk和PrecisionTree插件(美国纽约州伊萨卡市的Palisade Corporation)对每个管理场景进行了10000次迭代的经济模拟,以考虑断奶前死亡率、断奶年龄和疾病流行率的变化。随着牛奶配给量的增加,总饲料成本增加。给犊牛提供更高的牛奶供应量会导致每千克增重成本降低。饲料成本占总成本的平均百分比为46%(最小值、最大值:33%、59%),而劳动力以及固定和可变成本分别占33%(20%、45%)、9%(2%、12%)和12%(10%、14%)。在所有管理场景和牛奶配给量下,每头犊牛断奶前的总成本在258.56美元至582.98美元之间。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4818/6680651/9b357f23121b/animals-09-00471-g001.jpg

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