Lancet. 2018 Jun 2;391(10136):2236-2271. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30994-2. Epub 2018 Jun 1.
BACKGROUND: A key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index for 195 countries and territories, as well as subnational locations in seven countries, from 1990 to 2016. METHODS: Drawing from established methods and updated estimates from GBD 2016, we used 32 causes from which death should not occur in the presence of effective care to approximate personal health-care access and quality by location and over time. To better isolate potential effects of personal health-care access and quality from underlying risk factor patterns, we risk-standardised cause-specific deaths due to non-cancers by location-year, replacing the local joint exposure of environmental and behavioural risks with the global level of exposure. Supported by the expansion of cancer registry data in GBD 2016, we used mortality-to-incidence ratios for cancers instead of risk-standardised death rates to provide a stronger signal of the effects of personal health care and access on cancer survival. We transformed each cause to a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the first percentile (worst) observed between 1990 and 2016, and 100 as the 99th percentile (best); we set these thresholds at the country level, and then applied them to subnational locations. We applied a principal components analysis to construct the HAQ Index using all scaled cause values, providing an overall score of 0-100 of personal health-care access and quality by location over time. We then compared HAQ Index levels and trends by quintiles on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary measure of overall development. As derived from the broader GBD study and other data sources, we examined relationships between national HAQ Index scores and potential correlates of performance, such as total health spending per capita. FINDINGS: In 2016, HAQ Index performance spanned from a high of 97·1 (95% UI 95·8-98·1) in Iceland, followed by 96·6 (94·9-97·9) in Norway and 96·1 (94·5-97·3) in the Netherlands, to values as low as 18·6 (13·1-24·4) in the Central African Republic, 19·0 (14·3-23·7) in Somalia, and 23·4 (20·2-26·8) in Guinea-Bissau. The pace of progress achieved between 1990 and 2016 varied, with markedly faster improvements occurring between 2000 and 2016 for many countries in sub-Saharan Africa and southeast Asia, whereas several countries in Latin America and elsewhere saw progress stagnate after experiencing considerable advances in the HAQ Index between 1990 and 2000. Striking subnational disparities emerged in personal health-care access and quality, with China and India having particularly large gaps between locations with the highest and lowest scores in 2016. In China, performance ranged from 91·5 (89·1-93·6) in Beijing to 48·0 (43·4-53·2) in Tibet (a 43·5-point difference), while India saw a 30·8-point disparity, from 64·8 (59·6-68·8) in Goa to 34·0 (30·3-38·1) in Assam. Japan recorded the smallest range in subnational HAQ performance in 2016 (a 4·8-point difference), whereas differences between subnational locations with the highest and lowest HAQ Index values were more than two times as high for the USA and three times as high for England. State-level gaps in the HAQ Index in Mexico somewhat narrowed from 1990 to 2016 (from a 20·9-point to 17·0-point difference), whereas in Brazil, disparities slightly increased across states during this time (a 17·2-point to 20·4-point difference). Performance on the HAQ Index showed strong linkages to overall development, with high and high-middle SDI countries generally having higher scores and faster gains for non-communicable diseases. Nonetheless, countries across the development spectrum saw substantial gains in some key health service areas from 2000 to 2016, most notably vaccine-preventable diseases. Overall, national performance on the HAQ Index was positively associated with higher levels of total health spending per capita, as well as health systems inputs, but these relationships were quite heterogeneous, particularly among low-to-middle SDI countries. INTERPRETATION: GBD 2016 provides a more detailed understanding of past success and current challenges in improving personal health-care access and quality worldwide. Despite substantial gains since 2000, many low-SDI and middle-SDI countries face considerable challenges unless heightened policy action and investments focus on advancing access to and quality of health care across key health services, especially non-communicable diseases. Stagnating or minimal improvements experienced by several low-middle to high-middle SDI countries could reflect the complexities of re-orienting both primary and secondary health-care services beyond the more limited foci of the Millennium Development Goals. Alongside initiatives to strengthen public health programmes, the pursuit of universal health coverage hinges upon improving both access and quality worldwide, and thus requires adopting a more comprehensive view-and subsequent provision-of quality health care for all populations. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
背景:实现全民健康覆盖的一个关键组成部分是确保所有人群都能获得高质量的医疗保健。检查国家内部和国家之间在取得进展或进展受挫的地方,对于指导未来改进的决策和战略至关重要。我们使用 2016 年全球疾病、伤害和危险因素研究(GBD 2016),通过医疗保健获取和质量指数(HAQ 指数),评估了 195 个国家和地区以及 7 个国家的次国家级地点 1990 年至 2016 年的个人医疗保健获取和质量。
方法:借鉴 GBD 2016 中确立的方法和最新估计值,我们使用 32 种死因来近似个人医疗保健的获取和质量,这些死因应在有效护理的情况下避免发生。为了更好地将个人医疗保健的获取和质量的潜在影响与潜在风险因素模式隔离开来,我们按地点和时间对非癌症病因进行了风险标准化死亡率,用全球暴露水平取代了环境和行为风险的局部联合暴露。由于 2016 年 GBD 中癌症登记数据的扩展,我们使用癌症死亡率与发病率的比值代替风险标准化死亡率,以更有力地反映个人医疗保健和获取对癌症生存的影响。我们将每个死因转化为 0-100 的分数,其中 0 为 1990 年至 2016 年观察到的最低分(第 1 个百分位数),100 为最高分(第 99 个百分位数);我们在国家层面设定了这些阈值,然后将其应用于次国家级地点。我们应用主成分分析,使用所有加权原因值构建 HAQ 指数,提供随时间推移的个人医疗保健获取和质量的地点得分,得分范围为 0-100。然后,我们根据总体发展的综合指标社会人口指数(SDI),按五分位数比较 HAQ 指数水平和趋势。正如从更广泛的 GBD 研究和其他数据源中得出的那样,我们研究了国家 HAQ 指数得分与表现的潜在相关性,如人均卫生总支出。
发现:2016 年,HAQ 指数的表现范围从冰岛的 97.1(95%置信区间 95.8-98.1)到挪威的 96.6(94.9-97.9)和荷兰的 96.1(94.5-97.3),到中非共和国的 18.6(13.1-24.4)、索马里的 19.0(14.3-23.7)和几内亚比绍的 23.4(20.2-26.8)。1990 年至 2016 年期间,进展的速度有所不同,撒哈拉以南非洲和东南亚的许多国家在 2000 年至 2016 年期间取得了明显更快的进步,而拉丁美洲和其他地区的一些国家在 1990 年至 2000 年期间实现了 HAQ 指数的显著进步后,进展停滞不前。个人医疗保健获取和质量出现了显著的地方差异,中国和印度在 2016 年的得分最高和最低的地点之间存在着特别大的差距。在中国,北京的表现范围从 91.5(89.1-93.6)到西藏的 48.0(43.4-53.2)(相差 43.5 分),而印度的差距为 30.8 分,从果阿的 64.8(59.6-68.8)到阿萨姆邦的 34.0(30.3-38.1)。日本在 2016 年的次国家级 HAQ 表现范围内记录的差距最小(相差 4.8 分),而美国和英国的最高和最低 HAQ 指数值之间的差异是墨西哥和巴西的两倍多。墨西哥的 HAQ 指数州级差距在 1990 年至 2016 年期间有所缩小(从 20.9 分缩小到 17.0 分),而在巴西,同一时期各州之间的差距略有扩大(从 17.2 分扩大到 20.4 分)。HAQ 指数的表现与整体发展密切相关,高和中高社会人口指数国家的得分普遍较高,在非传染性疾病方面的进展较快。尽管自 2000 年以来取得了重大进展,但低、中低收入国家在一些关键卫生服务领域也取得了重大进展,尤其是疫苗可预防疾病。总的来说,国家 HAQ 指数的表现与人均卫生总支出以及卫生系统投入呈正相关,但这些关系存在较大的异质性,特别是在中低收入社会人口指数国家中。
解释:GBD 2016 更详细地了解了全球在改善个人医疗保健获取和质量方面过去的成功和当前的挑战。尽管自 2000 年以来取得了重大进展,但许多低收入和中等收入国家在面临重大挑战,除非加大政策行动和投资力度,将重点放在提高关键卫生服务,特别是非传染性疾病的医疗保健获取和质量上。一些中低收入到中高收入国家的停滞不前或进展有限,可能反映了重新调整初级和二级卫生保健服务的复杂性,超出了千年发展目标的更有限重点。除了加强公共卫生计划的举措外,普及全民健康覆盖取决于改善全世界的医疗保健获取和质量,因此需要采取更全面的观点,并随后为所有人群提供全面的优质医疗保健。
资金来源:比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会。
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