Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, No.10 Xitoutiao, You'anmenWai, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100069, China.
Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Environ Health. 2019 Aug 1;18(1):70. doi: 10.1186/s12940-019-0506-2.
Air pollution and cardiovascular disease are increasing problems in China. However, the short-term association between fine particulate matter (PM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is not well documented. The purpose of this study is to estimate the short-term effects of PM on CVD admissions in Beijing, China.
In total, 460,938 electronic hospitalization summary reports for CVD between 2013 and 2017 were obtained. A generalized additive model using a quasi-Poisson distribution was used to investigate the association between exposure to PM and hospitalizations for total and cause-specific CVD, including coronary heart disease (CHD), atrial fibrillation (AF), and heart failure (HF) after controlling for the season, the day of the week, public holidays, and weather conditions. A stratified analysis was also conducted for age (18-64 and ≥ 65 years), sex and season.
For every 10 μg/m increase in the PM concentration from the previous day to the current (lag 0-1) there was a significant increase in total CVD admissions (0.30, 95% CI: 0.20, 0.39%), with a strong association for older adults (aged ≥65 years), CHD (0.34, 95% CI: 0.22 to 0.45%) and AF (0.29, 95% CI, 0.03 to 0.55%). However, the observed increased risk was not statistically significant for HF hospitalizations. The associations in the single-pollutant models were robust to the inclusion of other pollutants in a two-pollutant model. No differences were found after stratification by sex and season.
Exposure to PM increased the risk of hospitalizations from CVD, especially for CHD, and appeared to have more influence in the elderly. Precautions and protective measures and efforts to reduce exposure to PM should be strengthened, especially for the elderly.
空气污染和心血管疾病在中国是日益严重的问题。然而,细颗粒物(PM)与心血管疾病(CVD)之间的短期关联尚未得到充分证实。本研究旨在评估 PM 对中国北京 CVD 入院的短期影响。
共获得 2013 年至 2017 年间 CVD 住院电子病历摘要报告 460938 份。采用广义加性模型(GAM)和拟泊松分布来研究暴露于 PM 与 CVD 住院之间的关联,包括冠心病(CHD)、心房颤动(AF)和心力衰竭(HF),同时控制季节、周内天、节假日和天气条件的影响。还对年龄(18-64 岁和≥65 岁)、性别和季节进行了分层分析。
在前一天到当前(lag 0-1)的 PM 浓度每增加 10μg/m,总 CVD 入院率显著增加(0.30,95%CI:0.20,0.39%),在老年人群(年龄≥65 岁)、CHD(0.34,95%CI:0.22 至 0.45%)和 AF(0.29,95%CI,0.03 至 0.55%)中相关性较强。然而,HF 入院的观察到的风险增加在统计学上并不显著。在双污染物模型中加入其他污染物后,单污染物模型中的关联仍然稳健。按性别和季节分层后未发现差异。
暴露于 PM 增加了 CVD 住院的风险,特别是 CHD,且对老年人的影响似乎更大。应加强预防和保护措施,并努力减少 PM 暴露,特别是对老年人。