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对人类和机器人工作替代的心理反应。

Psychological reactions to human versus robotic job replacement.

机构信息

TUM School of Management, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.

Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.

出版信息

Nat Hum Behav. 2019 Oct;3(10):1062-1069. doi: 10.1038/s41562-019-0670-y. Epub 2019 Aug 5.

Abstract

Advances in robotics and artificial intelligence are increasingly enabling organizations to replace humans with intelligent machines and algorithms. Forecasts predict that, in the coming years, these new technologies will affect millions of workers in a wide range of occupations, replacing human workers in numerous tasks, but potentially also in whole occupations. Despite the intense debate about these developments in economics, sociology and other social sciences, research has not examined how people react to the technological replacement of human labour. We begin to address this gap by examining the psychology of technological replacement. Our investigation reveals that people tend to prefer workers to be replaced by other human workers (versus robots); however, paradoxically, this preference reverses when people consider the prospect of their own job loss. We further demonstrate that this preference reversal occurs because being replaced by machines, robots or software (versus other humans) is associated with reduced self-threat. In contrast, being replaced by robots is associated with a greater perceived threat to one's economic future. These findings suggest that technological replacement of human labour has unique psychological consequences that should be taken into account by policy measures (for example, appropriately tailoring support programmes for the unemployed).

摘要

机器人技术和人工智能的进步正在使组织越来越能够用智能机器和算法取代人类。预测表明,在未来几年,这些新技术将影响到广泛职业领域的数百万工人,取代人类在许多任务中的工作,但也可能会取代整个职业。尽管经济学、社会学和其他社会科学对这些发展进行了激烈的辩论,但研究尚未探讨人们对人力劳动被技术取代的反应。我们通过研究技术替代的心理学开始解决这一差距。我们的调查显示,人们倾向于选择由其他人类工人(而不是机器人)来替代工人;然而,具有讽刺意味的是,当人们考虑到自己失业的前景时,这种偏好就会反转。我们进一步证明,这种偏好的反转是因为被机器、机器人或软件(而不是其他人)取代与降低自我威胁有关。相比之下,被机器人取代与对一个人经济未来的感知威胁更大有关。这些发现表明,人力劳动的技术替代具有独特的心理后果,政策措施应该考虑到这些后果(例如,为失业人员量身定制支持计划)。

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