Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717, USA.
Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, USA.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Sep 30;374(1782):20180336. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0336. Epub 2019 Aug 12.
The risk of zoonotic spillover from reservoir hosts, such as wildlife or domestic livestock, to people is shaped by the spatial and temporal distribution of infection in reservoir populations. Quantifying these distributions is a key challenge in epidemiology and disease ecology that requires researchers to make trade-offs between the extent and intensity of spatial versus temporal sampling. We discuss sampling methods that strengthen the reliability and validity of inferences about the dynamics of zoonotic pathogens in wildlife hosts. This article is part of the theme issue 'Dynamic and integrative approaches to understanding pathogen spillover'.
从储存宿主(如野生动物或家畜)向人类传播人畜共患病的风险,受到储存宿主种群中感染的时空分布的影响。量化这些分布是流行病学和疾病生态学中的一个关键挑战,需要研究人员在空间与时间采样的广度和强度之间做出权衡。我们讨论了采样方法,这些方法增强了关于野生动物宿主中人畜共患病病原体动态的推断的可靠性和有效性。本文是“理解病原体溢出的动态和综合方法”主题问题的一部分。