Suppr超能文献

基于融合卫星和站点观测的高时空分辨率臭氧暴露水平估算健康和经济效益。

Estimation of health and economic benefits based on ozone exposure level with high spatial-temporal resolution by fusing satellite and station observations.

机构信息

School of Geographic and Environmental Sciences, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin, 300387, China.

School of Geographic and Environmental Sciences, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin, 300387, China.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2019 Dec;255(Pt 2):113267. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2019.113267. Epub 2019 Sep 25.

Abstract

In recent years, ozone pollution has become more and more serious in China. Several epidemiological studies have demonstrated the correlation between short-term ozone exposure and several health risks including all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and respiratory mortality. In this study, the daily ozone exposure levels with 10 km × 10 km resolution were estimated based on satellite data derived from Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) and the monitoring data. The health impacts for potential decrease in the daily ozone concentration and the corresponding economic benefits in 2016 were estimated by applying the environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program-Community Edition (BenMAP-CE) model. By reducing the daily maximum 8-h average concentration of ozone to 100 μg/m, the estimated avoided all-cause mortalities were 120 × 10 (95% confidence interval (CI): 67 × 10, 160 × 10) cases and the correspondingly economic benefits ranged from 36 to 64 billion CNY using amended human capital (AHC) and willingness to pay (WTP) method in 2016. If the daily maximum 8-h average concentration of ozone were rolled back to 70 μg/m, the estimated avoided all-cause mortalities were 160 × 10 (95% CI: 98 × 10, 230 × 10) cases and economic benefits ranged from 54 to 95 billion CNY based on AHC and WTP methods.

摘要

近年来,中国的臭氧污染问题日益严重。几项流行病学研究表明,短期臭氧暴露与多种健康风险之间存在相关性,包括全因死亡率、心血管死亡率和呼吸死亡率。在这项研究中,基于臭氧监测仪(OMI)卫星数据和监测数据,以 10km×10km 的分辨率估算了每日臭氧暴露水平。通过应用环境效益制图和分析规划-社区版(BenMAP-CE)模型,估算了 2016 年降低每日臭氧浓度和相应经济收益的健康影响。通过将每日最大 8 小时平均浓度的臭氧降低到 100μg/m,采用修正后的人力资本(AHC)和意愿支付(WTP)方法估算,2016 年可避免的全因死亡率为 120×10(95%置信区间(CI):67×10,160×10)例,相应的经济效益为 360 亿至 640 亿元人民币。如果将每日最大 8 小时平均浓度的臭氧降低到 70μg/m,采用 AHC 和 WTP 方法估算,2016 年可避免的全因死亡率为 160×10(95% CI:98×10,230×10)例,经济收益为 540 亿至 950 亿元人民币。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验