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出生时性别预期寿命差距变化的背后机制:一种扩展分解。

The Mechanism Underlying Change in the Sex Gap in Life Expectancy at Birth: An Extended Decomposition.

机构信息

School of Demography, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.

出版信息

Demography. 2019 Dec;56(6):2307-2321. doi: 10.1007/s13524-019-00832-z.

Abstract

The relationship between differential mortality rates and differences in life expectancy is well understood, but how changing differential rates translate into changing differences in life expectancy has not been fully explained. To elucidate the mechanism involved, this study extends existing decomposition methods. The extended method decomposes change in the sex gap in life expectancy at birth into three components capturing the effects of the sex difference in mortality improvement (ρ-effect), life table deaths density by age (f-effect), and remaining life expectancy by age (e-effect). These three effects oppose and augment each other, depending on relative change in sex-differential mortality rates. The new method is applied to period data for 35 countries and cohort data for 25 countries. The results demonstrate how the mechanism, involving the three effects, operates to determine change in the sex difference in life expectancy. We observe the pivotal importance of the f-effect, which is predominantly negative because of lower female mortality, in favoring narrowing rather than widening of the sex gap, in shifting the overall effect to younger ages, and in exaggerating fluctuations due to crisis mortality. The new decomposition provides a more detailed basis for substantive analyses examining change in differences in life expectancy.

摘要

死亡率差异与预期寿命差异之间的关系已得到充分理解,但死亡率差异的变化如何转化为预期寿命差异的变化尚未得到充分解释。为了阐明所涉及的机制,本研究扩展了现有的分解方法。该扩展方法将出生时性别预期寿命差距的变化分解为三个部分,捕捉死亡率改善的性别差异的影响(ρ 效应)、按年龄划分的生命表死亡率密度(f 效应)和按年龄划分的剩余预期寿命(e 效应)。这三个效应相互对抗和增强,具体取决于性别差异死亡率的相对变化。新方法应用于 35 个国家的时期数据和 25 个国家的队列数据。结果表明,涉及这三个效应的机制如何运作以确定预期寿命性别差异的变化。我们观察到 f 效应的关键作用,由于女性死亡率较低,该效应主要为负,有利于缩小而不是扩大性别差距,将整体效应转移到更年轻的年龄,并因危机死亡率而夸大波动。新的分解为检查预期寿命差异变化的实质性分析提供了更详细的基础。

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