Department of Global Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan.
Johns Hopkins International Injury Research Unit, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Accid Anal Prev. 2020 Mar;136:105440. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2020.105440. Epub 2020 Jan 18.
To deal with the increasing number of motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) among older drivers, a cognitive test has been introduced to a license renewal procedure for drivers aged ≥75 years since June 2009. This might have prompted the reduction or cessation of driving by older drivers. We therefore examined whether older drivers' chance of experiencing MVCs as unprotected road users has increased after the test was introduced.
Using police-reported national data on MVCs from January 2005 through December 2016, we calculated the monthly injury rates (including deaths, severe injuries, and minor injuries) among unprotected road users (bicyclists and pedestrians) by sex and age group (70-74, 75-79, 80-84, and ≥85 years). The ratios of the injury rates of unprotected road users in the three oldest age groups (who were subjected to the test) to those aged 70-74 years (not subjected to the test) were also calculated. Then, we conducted an interrupted time-series analysis based on the injury rate ratios to control for extraneous factors affecting MVCs over the study period.
There was a significant increase in traffic injuries of unprotected road users at the time the test was introduced among females aged 75-84 years, and at a later time among males aged ≥80 years and females aged ≥85 years.
Licensing policies for older drivers should be rigorously evaluated, taking into account the safety of older unprotected road users, and should be balanced against it.
为应对老年驾驶员机动车事故(MVC)数量的增加,自 2009 年 6 月以来,针对 75 岁及以上驾驶员的驾照更新程序引入了认知测试。这可能促使老年驾驶员减少或停止驾驶。因此,我们研究了自测试引入以来,老年驾驶员作为无保护道路使用者经历 MVC 的几率是否增加。
使用 2005 年 1 月至 2016 年 12 月期间警方报告的全国 MVC 数据,我们按性别和年龄组(70-74、75-79、80-84 和≥85 岁)计算无保护道路使用者(骑自行车者和行人)的每月受伤率(包括死亡、重伤和轻伤)。还计算了三个最年长年龄组(接受测试)中无保护道路使用者的受伤率与 70-74 岁年龄组(未接受测试)的受伤率之比。然后,我们基于受伤率比进行了中断时间序列分析,以控制研究期间影响 MVC 的其他因素。
在测试引入时,女性 75-84 岁年龄组以及稍后的男性≥80 岁和女性≥85 岁年龄组的无保护道路使用者交通伤害显著增加。
应严格评估针对老年驾驶员的驾驶许可政策,同时考虑到老年无保护道路使用者的安全,并应平衡这一点。