Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN 55108, USA.
School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85282, USA.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2020 Mar 16;375(1794):20190124. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0124. Epub 2020 Jan 27.
Managing and adapting to climate change in urban areas will become increasingly important as urban populations grow, especially because unique features of cities amplify climate change impacts. High impervious cover exacerbates impacts of climate warming through urban heat island effects and of heavy rainfall by magnifying runoff and flooding. Concentration of human settlements along rivers and coastal zones increases exposure of people and infrastructure to climate change hazards, often disproportionately affecting those who are least prepared. Nature-based strategies (NBS), which use living organisms, soils and sediments, and/or landscape features to reduce climate change hazards, hold promise as being more flexible, multi-functional and adaptable to an uncertain and non-stationary climate future than traditional approaches. Nevertheless, future research should address the effectiveness of NBS for reducing climate change impacts and whether they can be implemented at scales appropriate to climate change hazards and impacts. Further, there is a need for accurate and comprehensive cost-benefit analyses that consider disservices and co-benefits, relative to grey alternatives, and how costs and benefits are distributed across different communities. NBS are most likely to be effective and fair when they match the scale of the challenge, are implemented with input from diverse voices and are appropriate to specific social, cultural, ecological and technological contexts. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'.
随着城市人口的增长,管理和适应城市气候变化将变得越来越重要,特别是因为城市的独特特征放大了气候变化的影响。高不透水覆盖层通过城市热岛效应加剧了气候变暖的影响,通过增加径流量和洪水放大了强降雨的影响。人类住区沿河流和沿海地区的集中增加了人们和基础设施受到气候变化危害的暴露程度,这种情况往往不成比例地影响到那些准备最不充分的人。基于自然的策略(NBS)利用生物、土壤和沉积物以及/或景观特征来减少气候变化的危害,它们具有比传统方法更灵活、多功能和适应不确定和非稳定气候未来的潜力。然而,未来的研究应该解决 NBS 减少气候变化影响的有效性问题,以及它们是否可以在与气候变化危害和影响相适应的规模上实施。此外,需要进行准确和全面的成本效益分析,考虑到相对于灰色替代品的不利服务和共同效益,以及成本和效益在不同社区之间的分配情况。当 NBS 与挑战的规模相匹配、由不同声音参与实施并适合特定的社会、文化、生态和技术背景时,它们最有可能是有效和公平的。本文是主题为“气候变化与生态系统:威胁、机遇与解决方案”的特刊的一部分。