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机场筛查对检测新型冠状病毒（2019-nCoV）感染旅行者的有效性。

Effectiveness of airport screening at detecting travellers infected with novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV).

机构信息

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

The members of the Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID) nCoV working group are listed at the end of the article.

出版信息

Euro Surveill. 2020 Feb;25(5). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.5.2000080.

DOI:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.5.2000080
PMID:32046816
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7014668/
Abstract

We evaluated effectiveness of thermal passenger screening for 2019-nCoV infection at airport exit and entry to inform public health decision-making. In our baseline scenario, we estimated that 46% (95% confidence interval: 36 to 58) of infected travellers would not be detected, depending on incubation period, sensitivity of exit and entry screening, and proportion of asymptomatic cases. Airport screening is unlikely to detect a sufficient proportion of 2019-nCoV infected travellers to avoid entry of infected travellers.

摘要

我们评估了在机场进出口对 2019-nCoV 感染进行热乘客筛查的效果，为公共卫生决策提供信息。在我们的基本情况下，根据潜伏期、进出口筛查的敏感性和无症状病例的比例，我们估计 46%（95%置信区间：36 至 58）的受感染旅行者将无法被发现。机场筛查不太可能发现足够比例的 2019-nCoV 受感染旅行者，从而无法避免受感染旅行者的入境。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e524/7014668/c487200518db/2000080-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e524/7014668/1c187c158035/2000080-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e524/7014668/988a9fcf504d/2000080-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e524/7014668/c487200518db/2000080-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e524/7014668/1c187c158035/2000080-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e524/7014668/988a9fcf504d/2000080-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e524/7014668/c487200518db/2000080-f3.jpg

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Effectiveness of airport screening at detecting travellers infected with novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV).

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[5]
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[7]
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[8]
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[10]
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本文引用的文献

[1]
Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2020-3-11

[2]
Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia.

N Engl J Med. 2020-1-29

[3]
A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family cluster.

Lancet. 2020-1-24

[4]
Effectiveness of traveller screening for emerging pathogens is shaped by epidemiology and natural history of infection.

Elife. 2015-2-19

[5]
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BMJ. 2014-10-14

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Thermal image scanning for influenza border screening: results of an airport screening study.

PLoS One. 2011-1-5

[7]
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BMJ. 2005-11-26

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Factors influencing compliance with quarantine in Toronto during the 2003 SARS outbreak.

Biosecur Bioterror. 2004

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Border screening for SARS in Australia: what has been learnt?

Med J Aust. 2004-3-1

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