Roman Lay Alejandra Andrea, Ferreira do Nascimento Carla, Caba Burgos Fresia, Larraín Huerta Angélica Del Carmen, Rivera Zeballos René Eduardo, Pantoja Silva Verónica, Duarte Yeda Aparecida de Oliveira
Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Tarapacá, Arica, Chile.
Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Curr Gerontol Geriatr Res. 2020 Feb 19;2020:7816785. doi: 10.1155/2020/7816785. eCollection 2020.
This study seeks to determine the prevalence of chronic diseases and analyze the association between multimorbidity and all-cause mortality by sex.
This is a 16-year longitudinal study of follow-up. We used sample data of the SABE (Health, Well-Being and Aging) study cohort and mortality data obtained through the Mortality Information Improvement Program of the City of São Paulo (PRO-AIM) from the 2000-2016 period. Survival analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazard models.
Hypertension (HT) was the most prevalent disease in older adults (52.93%), followed by musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) (27.09%), cardiovascular diseases (CD) (17.79%), diabetes mellitus (DM) (16.95%), mental disorders (MD) (15.43%), and respiratory diseases (RD) (9.72%). The highest mortality rate in women was observed in the combination of HT/MSDs/DM/MD (HR = 6.15, 95% CI = 2.32, 16.32), while in men was in the combination of HT/CD/MSDs/DM (HR = 5.72, 95% CI = 1.72, 19.06).
Similar to previous studies carried out in developed countries, we found that all-cause mortality increased as diseases are added to an individual. Women and men presented different mortality patterns according to multimorbidity. Therefore, we suggest that additional longitudinal studies should be performed in order to analyze mortality by sex.
本研究旨在确定慢性病的患病率,并按性别分析多种疾病并存与全因死亡率之间的关联。
这是一项为期16年的纵向随访研究。我们使用了SABE(健康、幸福与衰老)研究队列的样本数据以及通过圣保罗市死亡率信息改善计划(PRO - AIM)获得的2000 - 2016年期间的死亡率数据。使用Cox比例风险模型进行生存分析。
高血压(HT)是老年人中最常见的疾病(52.93%),其次是肌肉骨骼疾病(MSDs)(27.09%)、心血管疾病(CD)(17.79%)、糖尿病(DM)(16.95%)、精神疾病(MD)(15.43%)和呼吸系统疾病(RD)(9.72%)。女性中死亡率最高的情况出现在HT/MSDs/DM/MD组合中(HR = 6.15,95% CI = 2.32,16.32),而男性中则是HT/CD/MSDs/DM组合(HR = 5.72,95% CI = 1.72,19.06)。
与之前在发达国家进行的研究相似,我们发现随着个体所患疾病数量增加,全因死亡率上升。女性和男性根据多种疾病并存情况呈现出不同的死亡模式。因此,我们建议应开展更多纵向研究以按性别分析死亡率。