You Yunghun, Shin Yong Chan, Choi Dong Wook, Heo Jin Seok, Shin Sang Hyun, Kim Naru, Jang Kee-Taek, Kim Hongbeom, Lim Chang-Sup, Chang Sun Hee, Han Kang Min, Han In Woong
Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul 06351, Korea.
Department of Surgery, Ilsan Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Goyang 10380, Korea.
Cancers (Basel). 2020 Mar 24;12(3):762. doi: 10.3390/cancers12030762.
The 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC) included a positive lymph node count (PLNC), but a comparison of the prognostic predictive power of PLNC and lymph node ratio (LNR) is still under debate. This study aimed to compare various staging models made by combining the abovementioned factors, identify the model with the best predictive power, and propose a modified staging system. We retrospectively reviewed 251 patients who underwent surgery for DCC at four centers. To determine the superiority of various staging models for predicting overall OSR, Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC), AIC correction (AICc), and Harrell's C-statistic were calculated. In multivariate analysis, age ( = 0.003), total lymph node count ( = 0.033), and revised T(LNR)M staging ( < 0.001) were identified as independent factors for overall survival rate. The predictive performance of revised T (LNR) M staging (AIC: 1288.925, BIC: 1303.377, AICc: 1291.52, and Harrell's C statics: 0.667) was superior to other staging system. A modified staging system consisting of revised T category and LNR predicted better overall survival of DCC than AJCC 7th and AJCC 8th editions. In the future, external validation of the proposed new system using a larger cohort will be required.
美国癌症联合委员会(AJCC)第8版远端胆管癌(DCC)分期系统纳入了阳性淋巴结计数(PLNC),但PLNC与淋巴结比率(LNR)的预后预测能力比较仍存在争议。本研究旨在比较结合上述因素构建的各种分期模型,确定预测能力最佳的模型,并提出改良分期系统。我们回顾性分析了四个中心接受DCC手术的251例患者。为确定各种分期模型预测总生存率(OSR)的优越性,计算了赤池信息准则(AIC)、贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)、AIC校正值(AICc)和Harrell's C统计量。多因素分析中,年龄(=0.003)、总淋巴结计数(=0.033)和修订的T(LNR)M分期(<0.001)被确定为总生存率的独立因素。修订的T(LNR)M分期(AIC:1288.925,BIC:1303.377,AICc:1291.52,Harrell's C统计量:0.667)的预测性能优于其他分期系统。由修订的T类别和LNR组成的改良分期系统预测DCC的总生存率优于AJCC第7版和第8版。未来,需要使用更大队列对所提出的新系统进行外部验证。