Salihu Hamisu M, Dongarwar Deepa, Aliyu Muktar H, Azuine Romuladus E
Center of Excellence in Health Equity, Training, and Research, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77098, USA.
Department of Family and Community Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77098, USA.
Int J MCH AIDS. 2020;9(2):182-185. doi: 10.21106/ijma.378. Epub 2020 Apr 23.
The world is currently witnessing a dramatic disruption of everyday life owing to the rapid progression of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. As the pandemic evolves, there is an urgent need to better understand its epidemiology, characterize its potential impact, and identify mitigatory strategies to avert pandemic-related mortality. There is a need for a tool or algorithm to evaluate the extent to which public health policy and/or economic preparedness measures are effectively averting COVID-19 related mortality. We present a simple and yet practical epidemiological tool, the Pandemic Efficiency Index (PEI), that can be utilized globally to test the relative efficiency of measures put in place to avert death resulting from COVID-19 infection. Using the PEI and current COVID-19-related mortality, we determined that so far Germany demonstrates the highest PEI (5.1) among countries with more than 5,000 recorded cases of the infection, indicating high quality measures instituted by the country to avert death during the pandemic. Italy and France currently have the lowest COVID-19-related PEIs. Epidemics and pandemics come and go, but local, national, and global abilities to determine the efficiency of their efforts in averting deaths is critical.
由于2019冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行的迅速发展，目前全世界正在经历日常生活的剧烈混乱。随着大流行的演变，迫切需要更好地了解其流行病学，描述其潜在影响，并确定缓解策略以避免与大流行相关的死亡。需要一种工具或算法来评估公共卫生政策和/或经济防范措施在多大程度上有效地避免了与COVID-19相关的死亡。我们提出了一种简单而实用的流行病学工具——大流行效率指数（PEI），它可在全球范围内用于测试为避免COVID-19感染导致的死亡而采取的措施的相对效率。利用PEI和当前与COVID-19相关的死亡率，我们确定，在记录的感染病例超过5000例的国家中，德国目前的PEI最高（5.1），这表明该国在大流行期间采取了高质量的措施来避免死亡。意大利和法国目前的COVID-19相关PEI最低。流行病和大流行来来去去，但地方、国家和全球确定其避免死亡努力效率的能力至关重要。
