Levy D T
Federal Trade Commission, Washington, D.C. 20580.
Risk Anal. 1988 Dec;8(4):569-74. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1988.tb01200.x.
This study examines the effect of state driving age, learning permit, driver's education, and curfew laws on 15-17-year-old driver fatality rates. A multivariate regression model is estimated for 47 states and nine years. The minimum legal driving age and curfew laws are found to be important determinants of fatalities. Driver's education and learning permits have smaller effects. The relationship between rates of licensure and driving age, education, and curfew laws is also examined. In each case, a more restrictive policy is found to reduce licensure of 15-17 year olds. The results suggest that the imposition of curfew laws and higher minimum driving ages are particularly effective traffic safety policies.
本研究考察了法定驾驶年龄、学习许可证、驾驶教育以及宵禁法对15至17岁驾驶者死亡率的影响。对47个州和九年的数据估计了一个多元回归模型。发现最低法定驾驶年龄和宵禁法是死亡率的重要决定因素。驾驶教育和学习许可证的影响较小。还考察了驾照颁发率与驾驶年龄、教育以及宵禁法之间的关系。在每种情况下，更严格的政策都能减少15至17岁人群的驾照颁发。结果表明，实施宵禁法和提高最低驾驶年龄是特别有效的交通安全政策。
