Centre for Global Health Research, Unity Health Toronto, and Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Elife. 2020 Jul 7;9:e54076. doi: 10.7554/eLife.54076.
The World Health Organization call to halve global snakebite deaths by 2030 will require substantial progress in India. We analyzed 2833 snakebite deaths from 611,483 verbal autopsies in the nationally representative Indian Million Death Study from 2001 to 2014, and conducted a systematic literature review from 2000 to 2019 covering 87,590 snakebites. We estimate that India had 1.2 million snakebite deaths (average 58,000/year) from 2000 to 2019. Nearly half occurred at ages 30-69 years and over a quarter in children < 15 years. Most occurred at home in the rural areas. About 70% occurred in eight higher burden states and half during the rainy season and at low altitude. The risk of an Indian dying from snakebite before age 70 is about 1 in 250, but notably higher in some areas. More crudely, we estimate 1.11-1.77 million bites in 2015, of which 70% showed symptoms of envenomation. Prevention and treatment strategies might substantially reduce snakebite mortality in India.
世界卫生组织呼吁到 2030 年将全球蛇伤死亡人数减少一半,这将需要印度取得实质性进展。我们分析了 2001 年至 2014 年期间在全国代表性的印度百万死亡研究中,611483 次口头尸检中的 2833 例蛇伤死亡病例,并对 2000 年至 2019 年期间涵盖 87590 例蛇咬伤的系统文献进行了审查。我们估计,2000 年至 2019 年期间,印度有 120 万人死于蛇伤(平均每年 58000 人)。近一半发生在 30-69 岁,超过四分之一发生在<15 岁的儿童中。大多数发生在农村地区的家中。约 70%发生在八个负担较重的州,一半发生在雨季和低海拔地区。在 70 岁之前死于蛇伤的印度人的风险约为 1/250,但在某些地区风险更高。粗略估计,2015 年有 111-177 万人被咬伤,其中 70%出现了中毒症状。预防和治疗策略可能会大大降低印度的蛇伤死亡率。