Department of Mathematics, University of Zimbabwe, Mount Pleasant, Box MP 167, Harare, Zimbabwe.
BMC Res Notes. 2020 Jul 16;13(1):340. doi: 10.1186/s13104-020-05179-y.
The global incidence of HIV infection is not significantly decreasing, especially in sub-Saharan African countries. Though there is availability and accessibility of free HIV services, people are not being diagnosed early for HIV, and hence HIV-related mortality remains significantly high. We formulate a mathematical model for the spread of HIV using non linear ordinary differential equations in order to investigate the impact of late diagnosis of HIV on the spread of HIV.
The results suggest the need to encourage early initiation into HIV treatment as well as promoting HIV self-testing programs that enable more undiagnosed people to know their HIV status in order to curtail the continued spread of HIV.
全球艾滋病毒感染的发病率并没有显著下降,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲国家。尽管有免费的艾滋病毒服务的提供和可及性,但人们并没有及早被诊断出艾滋病毒,因此艾滋病毒相关的死亡率仍然很高。我们使用非线性常微分方程为艾滋病毒的传播建立了一个数学模型,以研究艾滋病毒晚期诊断对艾滋病毒传播的影响。
结果表明,需要鼓励及早开始艾滋病毒治疗,并推广艾滋病毒自我检测计划,以使更多未确诊的人了解自己的艾滋病毒状况,从而遏制艾滋病毒的持续传播。