School of Economics and Finance, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, China.
Xi'an Qujiang Culture Finance Holding Co. Ltd., Xi'an, 710061, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Dec;27(35):43813-43828. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-10236-x. Epub 2020 Aug 1.
Over the previous two decades, Chinese economic development presented a rapid growth. However, with continuous industrialization and urbanization, China is confronted with great challenges of energy security and environmental issues. These problems are closely related to the current accounting method of economic growth to a certain extent. In order to meet these challenges, it is imperative to establish a green accounting system of economic growth and measure China's green GDP and its changing trend based on the industrial perspective. Using the System of Environmental Economic Accounting (SEEA) and industry data, this paper estimates China's green GDP and green value added by industry sectors in 2005, 2007, 2010, 2012, 2015, and 2017. The results reveal the following: First, the ratio of green GDP to traditional GDP gradually increases from 89.85 to 95.83% during 2005-2017, which means that the negative externalities of economic growth of the resource and environment are gradually weakened. Second, the difference between traditional GDP and green GDP during 2005-2017 is about 6.96%, with the carbon emissions accounting for 70.71% of environmental impact. Third, due to more than 80% of the environmental impact coming from three sectors: manufacturing (49.99%), electricity industry (22.63%), and other services (11.37%), these three sectors should be key sectors for energy conservation and emission reduction; fourth, the green GDP of the mining, electricity industries, and manufacturing accounts for the lowest proportion of GDP, which means that the development patterns of these three industries in recent years should be adjusted and optimized step by step.
在过去的二十年中,中国经济发展呈现出快速增长的态势。然而,随着工业化和城市化的不断推进,中国面临着巨大的能源安全和环境问题挑战。这些问题在某种程度上与当前经济增长的会计方法密切相关。为了应对这些挑战,建立绿色经济增长会计体系,从产业角度衡量中国的绿色 GDP 及其变化趋势势在必行。本文利用环境经济核算体系(SEEA)和行业数据,估算了 2005、2007、2010、2012、2015 和 2017 年中国绿色 GDP 和各产业部门绿色增加值。结果表明:(1)2005-2017 年绿色 GDP 与传统 GDP 的比值由 89.85%逐渐增加到 95.83%,说明经济增长的资源环境负外部性逐渐减弱;(2)2005-2017 年传统 GDP 与绿色 GDP 的差值约为 6.96%,其中碳排放占环境影响的 70.71%;(3)由于制造业(49.99%)、电力业(22.63%)和其他服务业(11.37%)这三个部门的环境影响超过 80%,因此这三个部门应是节能减排的重点领域;(4)矿业、电力业和制造业的绿色 GDP 占 GDP 的比重最低,这意味着这三个产业近年来的发展模式应逐步进行调整和优化。