Changotra Rahil, Rajput Himadri, Rajput Prachi, Gautam Sneha, Arora Amarpreet Singh
School of Energy and Environment, Thapar Institute of Engineering and Technology, Patiala, 147004 India.
Central Scientific Instruments Organization, Sector 30C, Chandigarh, 160030 India.
Environ Dev Sustain. 2021;23(5):6623-6641. doi: 10.1007/s10668-020-00963-z. Epub 2020 Aug 31.
The outbreak of novel and recent coronavirus disease 2019, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus, has made an emergency throughout the world. In India, the outspread of the pandemic was observed on 3 March 2020, and after that exponential growth in the cases was observed in the country. Owing to the widespread transmission, high population density, high testing capacity and ineffective treatment, a continuous rise in cases was observed due to the pandemic in India. In this paper, we have discussed the trend and spread of COVID-19 spread in India with time, history of initial confirmed cases, the impact of phased manner lockdown, age- and gender-wise trend of cases and comparison of cases with the other most affected countries. The study uses exploratory data analysis to describe the current situation of COVID-19 cases in India till 16 August 2020, with the help of data from the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India (GOI) and the World Health Organization (WHO). As of August 16, the total number of confirmed cases in India crossed 2.5 million marks with over 50,000 causalities. With more patients recovering and being discharged from hospitals and home isolation (in case of mild and moderate cases), the total recoveries have crossed the 1.8 million mark with a recovery rate of more than 70% and case fatality rate of 1.94% which is maintained below the global average and is on a continuous positive slide. The study also enlightens the preventive and stringent measures taken by India to combat the COVID-19 situation along with the future prospects. The GOI is following its proactive and preemptive approach for management, prevention and containment of COVID-19 in collaboration with the WHO.
由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2（SARS-CoV-2）引起的新型冠状病毒病2019疫情已在全球范围内引发紧急情况。在印度，2020年3月3日观察到疫情蔓延，此后该国病例呈指数级增长。由于传播广泛、人口密度高、检测能力强以及治疗效果不佳，印度因该疫情导致病例持续上升。在本文中，我们讨论了新冠病毒病在印度随时间的传播趋势、最初确诊病例的情况、分阶段封锁的影响、病例的年龄和性别趋势以及与其他受影响最严重国家的病例比较。该研究利用探索性数据分析，借助印度政府卫生和家庭福利部以及世界卫生组织（WHO）的数据，描述了截至2020年8月16日印度新冠病毒病病例的现状。截至8月16日，印度确诊病例总数超过250万例，死亡人数超过5万例。随着越来越多的患者康复并从医院出院以及居家隔离（轻症和中症患者），总康复人数已超过180万例，康复率超过70%，病死率为1.94%，低于全球平均水平且持续呈积极趋势。该研究还阐述了印度为应对新冠病毒病疫情所采取的预防和严格措施以及未来前景。印度政府与世卫组织合作，对新冠病毒病的管理、预防和控制采取积极主动的方法。
