Wan Zhiwei, Wang Yaqi, Deng Chunhong
School of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang 330022, People's Republic of China.
Jiangxi Provincial Cancer Center, Jiangxi Provincial Cancer Hospital, Nanchang 330029, People's Republic of China.
Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2020 Aug 10;13:1079-1093. doi: 10.2147/RMHP.S261221. eCollection 2020.
The incidence of gynecological cancer is high in China, and the effects of related treatments and preventive measures need to be improved.
This study uses GIS spatial analysis methods and a scanning statistical analysis to study the major gynecological cancers in northern Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2018.
The incidence and spatial pattern of cervical cancer, ovarian cancer, and uterine cancer had agglomeration characteristics and changes during the study period. The gynecological cancer had a spatial autocorrelation and agglomeration in its spatial pattern. The Moran's Index of the overall gynecological cancer incidence rate was 0.289 (p = 0.005). Ripley's L(d) function showed that the agglomeration radius was between 51.40 and 52.82 km. The results of the kernel density estimation showed that the cases of gynecological cancer were concentrated in the central and northeastern areas of the study area. The overall county-level incidence of gynecological cancer varied from 0.26 to 11.14 per 100,000. The results of the gravity center analysis showed that the spatial distribution of the gravity center point of gynecological cancer had moved toward the east during the past three years. The results of a hotspot analysis showed that there were five hotspot areas that had gynecological cancers. The most likely clusters of gynecological cancer at the county level in northern Jiangxi Province were distributed in the adjacent areas of Jiujiang, Yichun, and Nanchang, with a relative risk of 1.85.
The research shows that GIS can display the distribution of cancer cases and can use spatial analysis methods and scanning statistical techniques to obtain key areas of cancer incidence. These results can provide data and key areas for the formulation of regional public health policies and provide recommendations for cancer screening and the rational allocation of health resources.
中国妇科癌症发病率较高,相关治疗及预防措施的效果有待提高。
本研究采用地理信息系统(GIS)空间分析方法及扫描统计分析法,对2016年至2018年赣北地区主要妇科癌症进行研究。
宫颈癌、卵巢癌和子宫癌的发病率及空间格局在研究期间具有集聚特征和变化。妇科癌症在其空间格局上具有空间自相关性和集聚性。妇科癌症总体发病率的莫兰指数为0.289(p = 0.005)。里普利L(d)函数显示集聚半径在51.40至52.82公里之间。核密度估计结果表明,妇科癌症病例集中在研究区域的中部和东北部地区。妇科癌症的县级总体发病率在每10万人0.26至11.14之间。重心分析结果表明,过去三年妇科癌症重心点的空间分布向东移动。热点分析结果显示有五个妇科癌症热点地区。赣北地区县级最可能的妇科癌症聚集区分布在九江、宜春和南昌的相邻地区,相对风险为1.85。
研究表明,GIS能够显示癌症病例的分布情况,并可利用空间分析方法和扫描统计技术获取癌症发病的关键区域。这些结果可为区域公共卫生政策的制定提供数据和关键区域,并为癌症筛查及卫生资源的合理分配提供建议。