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尼日利亚拉各斯州 2184 例 COVID-19 患者的不良预后的表现症状和预测因素。

Presenting Symptoms and Predictors of Poor Outcomes Among 2,184 Patients with COVID-19 in Lagos State, Nigeria.

机构信息

Lagos State Ministry of Health.

College of Medicine University of Lagos.

出版信息

Int J Infect Dis. 2021 Jan;102:226-232. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.10.024. Epub 2020 Oct 16.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Lagos state remains the epicentre of COVID-19 in Nigeria. We describe the symptoms and signs of the first 2,184 PCR-confirmed COVID-19 patients admitted at COVID-19 treatment centers in Lagos State. We also assessed the relationship between patients' presenting symptoms, sociodemographic and clinical characteristics and COVID-19 deaths..

METHODS

Medical records of PCR-confirmed COVID-19 patients were extracted and analyzed for their symptoms, symptom severity, presence of comorbidities and outcome.

RESULTS

The ages of the patients ranged from 4 days to 98 years with a mean of 43.0(16.0) years. Of the patients who presented with symptoms, cough (19.3%) was the most common presenting symptom. This was followed by fever (13.7%) and difficulty in breathing, (10.9%). The most significant clinical predictor of death was the severity of symptoms and signs at presentation. Difficulty in breathing was the most significant symptom predictor of COVID-19 death (OR:19.26 95% CI 10.95-33.88). The case fatality rate was 4.3%.

CONCLUSION

Primary care physicians and COVID-19 frontline workers should maintain a high index of suspicion and prioritize the care of patients presenting with these symptoms. Community members should be educated on such predictors and ensure that patients with these symptoms seek care early to reduce the risk of deaths associated with COVID-19.

摘要

简介

拉各斯州仍是尼日利亚 COVID-19 的中心。我们描述了在拉各斯州 COVID-19 治疗中心收治的前 2184 例经 PCR 确诊的 COVID-19 患者的症状和体征。我们还评估了患者的主要症状、社会人口统计学和临床特征与 COVID-19 死亡之间的关系。

方法

提取并分析了经 PCR 确诊的 COVID-19 患者的病历,以评估其症状、症状严重程度、合并症存在情况和结局。

结果

患者年龄从 4 天到 98 岁,平均年龄为 43.0(16.0)岁。有症状的患者中,咳嗽(19.3%)是最常见的主要症状。其次是发热(13.7%)和呼吸困难(10.9%)。死亡的最重要临床预测指标是就诊时症状和体征的严重程度。呼吸困难是 COVID-19 死亡的最重要症状预测因素(OR:19.26,95%CI 10.95-33.88)。病死率为 4.3%。

结论

初级保健医生和 COVID-19 一线工作者应保持高度警惕,并优先照顾出现这些症状的患者。应向社区成员宣传这些预测因素,并确保有这些症状的患者及早寻求治疗,以降低与 COVID-19 相关的死亡风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0979/7566672/c26bdacd9e64/gr1_lrg.jpg

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