Istituto Nazionale di Statistica, Rome, Italy.
Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri, IRCCS, Bergamo, Italy.
Med Lav. 2020 Oct 31;111(5):351-353. doi: 10.23749/mdl.v111i5.10786.
Based on mortality data from 93% of Italian municipalities, there was an over 50% excess total mortality in March and a 38% excess in April, corresponding to over 46,000 excess deaths in those two months - as compared to 28,000 deaths attributed to COVID-19 in March and April. No subsequent excess mortality was observed, and in June reported total deaths were 6.2% less than expected. In the first 6 months of 2020, an 11.1% excess mortality was observed in Italy, and an almost 50% excess in Lombardy, the most affected region. Timely monitoring of total mortality has relevant implications for monitoring the COVID-19 pandemic and controlling occupational and social exposures.
基于意大利 93%的市镇的死亡率数据，3 月的总死亡率超额超过 50%，4 月的超额死亡率超过 38%，这两个月的超额死亡人数超过 46000 人——相比之下，3 月和 4 月归因于 COVID-19 的死亡人数为 28000 人。此后没有观察到超额死亡，6 月报告的总死亡人数比预期少 6.2%。2020 年前 6 个月，意大利的超额死亡率为 11.1%，受灾最严重的伦巴第地区的超额死亡率接近 50%。及时监测总死亡率对监测 COVID-19 大流行和控制职业和社会暴露具有重要意义。
