2020 年上半年 COVID-19 大流行与意大利总死亡率。
COVID-19 pandemic and total mortality in the first six months of 2020 in Italy.
机构信息
Istituto Nazionale di Statistica, Rome, Italy.
Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri, IRCCS, Bergamo, Italy.
出版信息
Med Lav. 2020 Oct 31;111(5):351-353. doi: 10.23749/mdl.v111i5.10786.
Abstract
Based on mortality data from 93% of Italian municipalities, there was an over 50% excess total mortality in March and a 38% excess in April, corresponding to over 46,000 excess deaths in those two months - as compared to 28,000 deaths attributed to COVID-19 in March and April. No subsequent excess mortality was observed, and in June reported total deaths were 6.2% less than expected. In the first 6 months of 2020, an 11.1% excess mortality was observed in Italy, and an almost 50% excess in Lombardy, the most affected region. Timely monitoring of total mortality has relevant implications for monitoring the COVID-19 pandemic and controlling occupational and social exposures.
摘要
基于意大利 93%的市镇的死亡率数据，3 月的总死亡率超额超过 50%，4 月的超额死亡率超过 38%，这两个月的超额死亡人数超过 46000 人——相比之下，3 月和 4 月归因于 COVID-19 的死亡人数为 28000 人。此后没有观察到超额死亡，6 月报告的总死亡人数比预期少 6.2%。2020 年前 6 个月，意大利的超额死亡率为 11.1%，受灾最严重的伦巴第地区的超额死亡率接近 50%。及时监测总死亡率对监测 COVID-19 大流行和控制职业和社会暴露具有重要意义。
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