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一项在东地中海地区开展的为期一年的基于医院的 COVID-19 开放性队列前瞻性研究:Khorshid COVID 队列(KCC)研究。

A one-year hospital-based prospective COVID-19 open-cohort in the Eastern Mediterranean region: The Khorshid COVID Cohort (KCC) study.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

The Respiratory Research Center, Pulmonary Division, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Nov 5;15(11):e0241537. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0241537. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

The COVID-19 is rapidly scattering worldwide, and the number of cases in the Eastern Mediterranean Region is rising. Thus, there is a need for immediate targeted actions. We designed a longitudinal study in a hot outbreak zone to analyze the serial findings between infected patients for detecting temporal changes from February 2020. In a hospital-based open-cohort study, patients are followed from admission until one year from their discharge (the 1st, 4th, 12th weeks, and the first year). The patient recruitment phase finished at the end of August 2020, and the follow-up continues by the end of August 2021. The measurements included demographic, socio-economics, symptoms, health service diagnosis and treatment, contact history, and psychological variables. The signs improvement, death, length of stay in hospital were considered primary, and impaired pulmonary function and psychotic disorders were considered main secondary outcomes. Moreover, clinical symptoms and respiratory functions are being determined in such follow-ups. Among the first 600 COVID-19 cases, 490 patients with complete information (39% female; the average age of 57±15 years) were analyzed. Seven percent of these patients died. The three main leading causes of admission were: fever (77%), dry cough (73%), and fatigue (69%). The most prevalent comorbidities between COVID-19 patients were hypertension (35%), diabetes (28%), and ischemic heart disease (14%). The percentage of primary composite endpoints (PCEP), defined as death, the use of mechanical ventilation, or admission to an intensive care unit was 18%. The Cox Proportional-Hazards Model for PCEP indicated the following significant risk factors: Oxygen saturation < 80% (HR = 6.3; [CI 95%: 2.5,15.5]), lymphopenia (HR = 3.5; [CI 95%: 2.2,5.5]), Oxygen saturation 80%-90% (HR = 2.5; [CI 95%: 1.1,5.8]), and thrombocytopenia (HR = 1.6; [CI 95%: 1.1,2.5]). This long-term prospective Cohort may support healthcare professionals in the management of resources following this pandemic.

摘要

COVID-19 在全球迅速蔓延,东地中海区域的病例数量正在上升。因此,需要立即采取有针对性的行动。我们在一个热点疫区设计了一项纵向研究,以分析感染患者的连续发现,以检测从 2020 年 2 月开始的时间变化。在基于医院的开放队列研究中,患者从入院开始随访至出院后一年(第 1、4、12 周和第 1 年)。患者招募阶段于 2020 年 8 月底结束,随访将持续到 2021 年 8 月底。测量包括人口统计学、社会经济学、症状、卫生服务诊断和治疗、接触史和心理变量。症状改善、死亡、住院时间被认为是主要结果,肺功能障碍和精神障碍被认为是主要次要结果。此外,在这些随访中还确定了临床症状和呼吸功能。在最初的 600 例 COVID-19 病例中,分析了 490 例信息完整的患者(39%为女性;平均年龄 57±15 岁)。其中 7%的患者死亡。入院的三个主要原因是:发热(77%)、干咳(73%)和乏力(69%)。COVID-19 患者最常见的合并症是高血压(35%)、糖尿病(28%)和缺血性心脏病(14%)。定义为死亡、使用机械通气或入住重症监护病房的主要复合终点(PCEP)的百分比为 18%。PCEP 的 Cox 比例风险模型表明以下显著危险因素:氧饱和度<80%(HR=6.3;[95%CI:2.5,15.5])、淋巴细胞减少症(HR=3.5;[95%CI:2.2,5.5])、氧饱和度 80%-90%(HR=2.5;[95%CI:1.1,5.8])和血小板减少症(HR=1.6;[95%CI:1.1,2.5])。这项长期前瞻性队列研究可以为医疗保健专业人员在大流行后管理资源提供支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e57/7644058/fd5c47c7216d/pone.0241537.g001.jpg

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