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用于美国县级 COVID-19 事件风险评估的实时交互式网站。

Real-time, interactive website for US-county-level COVID-19 event risk assessment.

机构信息

School of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Applied Bioinformatics Laboratory, Atlanta, GA, USA.

出版信息

Nat Hum Behav. 2020 Dec;4(12):1313-1319. doi: 10.1038/s41562-020-01000-9. Epub 2020 Nov 9.

Abstract

Large events and gatherings, particularly those taking place indoors, have been linked to multitransmission events that have accelerated the pandemic spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). To provide real-time, geolocalized risk information, we developed an interactive online dashboard that estimates the risk that at least one individual with SARS-CoV-2 is present in gatherings of different sizes in the United States. The website combines documented case reports at the county level with ascertainment bias information obtained via population-wide serological surveys to estimate real-time circulating, per-capita infection rates. These rates are updated daily as a means to visualize the risk associated with gatherings, including county maps and state-level plots. The website provides data-driven information to help individuals and policy makers make prudent decisions (for example, increasing mask-wearing compliance and avoiding larger gatherings) that could help control the spread of SARS-CoV-2, particularly in hard-hit regions.

摘要

大型活动和集会,特别是那些在室内举行的活动,与多传播事件有关,这些事件加速了严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)的大流行传播。为了提供实时、地理位置相关的风险信息,我们开发了一个互动在线仪表板,该仪表板估计在美国不同规模的聚会中至少有一个 SARS-CoV-2 个体存在的风险。该网站将县级的有记录的病例报告与通过全人群血清学调查获得的确定偏差信息相结合,以估计实时的、人均感染率。这些比率每天都会更新,以可视化与聚会相关的风险,包括县地图和州级图表。该网站提供数据驱动的信息,以帮助个人和政策制定者做出明智的决策(例如,提高口罩佩戴的合规性和避免更大规模的聚会),这有助于控制 SARS-CoV-2 的传播,特别是在受影响严重的地区。

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