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基于CT影像组学特征的肺磨玻璃结节生长趋势预测

The Growth Trend Predictions in Pulmonary Ground Glass Nodules Based on Radiomic CT Features.

作者信息

Gao Chen, Yan Jing, Luo Yifan, Wu Linyu, Pang Peipei, Xiang Ping, Xu Maosheng

机构信息

Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University (Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine), Hangzhou, China.

The First Clinical Medical College of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Oncol. 2020 Oct 20;10:580809. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2020.580809. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

The management of ground glass nodules (GGNs) remains a distinctive challenge. This study is aimed at comparing the predictive growth trends of radiomic features against current clinical features for the evaluation of GGNs. A total of 110 GGNs in 85 patients were included in this retrospective study, in which follow up occurred over a span ≥2 years. A total of 396 radiomic features were manually segmented by radiologists and quantitatively analyzed using an Analysis Kit software. After feature selection, three models were developed to predict the growth of GGNs. The performance of all three models was evaluated by a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The best performing model was also assessed by calibration and clinical utility. After using a stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis and dimensionality reduction, the diameter and five specific radiomic features were included in the clinical model and the radiomic model. The rad-score [odds ratio (OR) = 5.130; < 0.01] and diameter (OR = 1.087; < 0.05) were both considered as predictive indicators for the growth of GGNs. Meanwhile, the area under the ROC curve of the combined model reached 0.801. The high degree of fitting and favorable clinical utility was detected using the calibration curve with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the decision curve analysis was utilized for the nomogram. A combined model using the current clinical features alongside the radiomic features can serve as a powerful tool to assist clinicians in guiding the management of GGNs.

摘要

磨玻璃结节(GGNs)的管理仍然是一项独特的挑战。本研究旨在比较放射组学特征与当前临床特征的预测生长趋势,以评估GGNs。这项回顾性研究共纳入了85例患者的110个GGNs,随访时间跨度≥2年。放射科医生手动分割了总共396个放射组学特征,并使用分析套件软件进行定量分析。经过特征选择,开发了三个模型来预测GGNs的生长。通过受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评估所有三个模型的性能。还通过校准和临床实用性评估了表现最佳的模型。在使用逐步多因素逻辑回归分析和降维后,临床模型和放射组学模型纳入了直径和五个特定的放射组学特征。放射评分[比值比(OR)=5.130;<0.01]和直径(OR = 1.087;<0.05)均被视为GGNs生长的预测指标。同时,联合模型的ROC曲线下面积达到0.801。使用带有Hosmer-Lemeshow检验的校准曲线检测到高度拟合和良好的临床实用性,并利用决策曲线分析进行列线图分析。结合当前临床特征和放射组学特征的联合模型可以作为一种强大的工具,帮助临床医生指导GGNs的管理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4d/7606974/627de3fd451a/fonc-10-580809-g0001.jpg

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