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气候变化对建筑供暖和制冷能耗影响的研究综述。

A Review of Studies Involving the Effects of Climate Change on the Energy Consumption for Building Heating and Cooling.

机构信息

School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China.

Academician Laboratory for Urban and Rural Spatial Data Mining of Henan Province, Zhengzhou 450046, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Dec 23;18(1):40. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18010040.

Abstract

The world is faced with significant climate change, rapid urbanization, massive energy consumption, and tremendous pressure to reduce greenhouse gases. Building heating and cooling is one primary source of energy consumption and anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. First, this review presents previous studies that estimate the specific amount of climate change impact on building heating and cooling energy consumption, using the statistical method, physical model method, comprehensive assessment model method, and the combination method of statistical and physical model methods. Then, because the heating and cooling degree days indices can simply and reliably indicate the effects of climate on building heating and cooling energy consumption, previous studies were reviewed from the aspects of heating and cooling degree days indices, regional spatial-temporal variations in degree days and related indices, influencing factors of the spatial distributions of degree days, and the impacts of urbanization on degree days. Finally, several potential key issues or research directions were presented according to the research gaps or fields that need to be studied further in the future, such as developing methods to simply and accurately estimate the specified amounts of climate change impact on building cooling and heating energy consumption; using more effective methods to analyze the daytime, nighttime, and all-day spatial-temporal changes in different seasons in the past and future under various environment contexts by considering not only the air temperature but also the relative humidity, solar radiation, population, etc., and further exploring the corresponding more kinds of driving forces, including the various remotely sensed indices, albedo, nighttime light intensity, etc.; estimating the daytime, nighttime, and all-day impacts of urbanization on heating degree days (HDDs), cooling degree days (CDDs), and their sum (HDDs + CDDs) for vast cities in different environmental contexts at the station site, city, regional and global scales; producing and sharing of the related datasets; and analyzing the subsequent effects induced by climate change on the energy consumption for building heating and cooling, etc.

摘要

世界正面临着重大的气候变化、快速的城市化、大量的能源消耗以及减少温室气体排放的巨大压力。建筑供暖和制冷是能源消耗和人为二氧化碳排放的主要来源之一。首先,本综述介绍了先前使用统计方法、物理模型方法、综合评估模型方法和统计与物理模型方法相结合的方法来估算气候变化对建筑供暖和制冷能耗的具体影响的研究。然后,由于供暖和制冷度日指数可以简单可靠地反映气候对建筑供暖和制冷能耗的影响,因此从供暖和制冷度日指数、度日和相关指数的区域时空变化、度日空间分布的影响因素以及城市化对度日的影响等方面对先前的研究进行了回顾。最后,根据研究差距或未来需要进一步研究的领域,提出了几个潜在的关键问题或研究方向,例如开发简单准确地估算气候变化对建筑供冷和供暖能耗具体影响的方法;利用更有效的方法,在考虑空气温度的同时,还考虑相对湿度、太阳辐射、人口等因素,分析过去和未来不同季节不同时段的日、夜和全天时空变化,并进一步探索相应的更多种类的驱动力,包括各种遥感指数、反照率、夜间灯光强度等;估计城市化对供热度日数(HDDs)、供冷度日数(CDDs)及其总和(HDDs+CDDs)的日、夜和全天影响,用于不同环境背景下不同站点、城市、区域和全球尺度的广大城市;生成和共享相关数据集;以及分析气候变化对建筑供暖和制冷能耗后续影响等。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c38/7793515/e7c262d0f4c2/ijerph-18-00040-g001.jpg

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