Khorrami Zahra, Nili Sairan, Sharifi Hamid, Eybpoosh Sana, Shokoohi Mostafa
HIV/STI Surveillance Research Center, and WHO Collaborating Center for HIV Surveillance, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
Med J Islam Repub Iran. 2020 Oct 8;34:133. doi: 10.34171/mjiri.34.133. eCollection 2020.
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has resulted in a considerable number of deaths worldwide. This ecological study aimed to explore the relationship between COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality with smoking, obesity, and underlying conditions in Iran. Provincial-level COVID-19 data were obtained from the official reports. Two outcomes were assessed: the total number of hospitalizations and deaths. Data on underlying health conditions, cigarette smoking, and obesity were obtained from national surveys. Negative binomial regression was used to report incident rate (IRR) ratios. As of April 22, 2020, a total number of 43 950 lab-confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations and 5391confirmed COVID-19 deaths were officially reported. Adjusting for underdetection to cover the number of clinically-confirmed COVID-19 cases, a total of 76 962 additional hospitalizations (ie, total lab- and clinically-confirmed hospitalizations = 120 912; 175% increase) and 7558 additional deaths (ie, total lab- and clinically-confirmed deaths = 12 949; 140% increase) were estimated during the same period. Provinces with a higher prevalence of obesity (IRR: 2.75, 95% CI: 1.49, 5.10), cigarette smoking (1.81; 95% CI: 1.01, 3.27), hypertension (1.88; 95% CI: 1.03, 3.44), and diabetes mellitus (1.74; 95% CI: 0.96, 3.16) had a higher likelihood of COVID-19 death rates. Inequality in COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality was observed in provinces whose populations had underlying diseases, in particular, obesity, cigarette smoking, hypertension, and diabetes.
2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)已在全球导致大量死亡。这项生态学研究旨在探讨伊朗COVID-19住院率和死亡率与吸烟、肥胖及基础疾病之间的关系。省级COVID-19数据来自官方报告。评估了两个结果:住院总数和死亡数。基础健康状况、吸烟和肥胖的数据来自全国性调查。采用负二项回归报告发病率(IRR)比值。截至2020年4月22日,官方共报告了43950例实验室确诊的COVID-19住院病例和5391例确诊的COVID-19死亡病例。为校正漏报以涵盖临床确诊的COVID-19病例数,估计同期另有76962例住院病例(即实验室确诊和临床确诊的住院病例总数=120912例;增加175%)和7558例死亡病例(即实验室确诊和临床确诊的死亡病例总数=12949例;增加140%)。肥胖患病率较高(IRR:2.75,9