大流行期间的理性决策。
Rational policymaking during a pandemic.
机构信息
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, IÉSEG School of Management, University of Lille, Unité Mixte de Recherche 9221-Lille Economics Management, 59000 Lille, France;
Resources for the Future-Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (RFF-CMCC) European Institute on Economics and the Environment, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, 20123 Milan, Italy.
出版信息
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Jan 26;118(4). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2012704118.
Policymaking during a pandemic can be extremely challenging. As COVID-19 is a new disease and its global impacts are unprecedented, decisions are taken in a highly uncertain, complex, and rapidly changing environment. In such a context, in which human lives and the economy are at stake, we argue that using ideas and constructs from modern decision theory, even informally, will make policymaking a more responsible and transparent process.
在大流行期间制定政策可能极具挑战性。由于 COVID-19 是一种新疾病，其全球影响前所未有，因此决策是在高度不确定、复杂和快速变化的环境中做出的。在这种情况下，人类的生命和经济都处于危险之中，我们认为，即使非正式地使用现代决策理论的思想和概念，也将使决策过程更加负责和透明。
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