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下午 6 点宵禁以防止 SARS-CoV-2 传播的副作用：来自法国图卢兹的建模研究。

Side effect of a 6 p.m curfew for preventing the spread of SARS-CoV-2: A modeling study from Toulouse, France.

机构信息

UMR Inserm, U1043; UMR CNRS, U5282, Centre de Physiopathologie de Toulouse Purpan (CPTP), Toulouse 31300, France; CHU Toulouse, Hôpital Purpan, Virology Laboratory, 31300 France.

CHU Toulouse, Hôpital Purpan, Virology Laboratory, 31300 France.

出版信息

J Infect. 2021 May;82(5):186-230. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2021.01.021. Epub 2021 Jan 31.

DOI:10.1016/j.jinf.2021.01.021
PMID:33535066
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7847700/
Abstract

The spread of SARS-CoV-2 and the resulting disease Covid-19 has killed over 2 million people as of January 22, 2021. We have designed a model and used it to quantify the effect of a 6 p.m curfew on the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Toulouse, France. The data show that this measure can lead to the opposite effect from that intended due to larger groups of people on the authorized hours.

摘要

截至 2021 年 1 月 22 日，SARS-CoV-2 的传播及其导致的疾病 COVID-19 已导致超过 200 万人死亡。我们设计了一个模型，并使用该模型来量化法国图卢兹晚上 6 点宵禁对 SARS-CoV-2 疫情的影响。数据表明，由于在授权时间内聚集的人数较多，这一措施可能会产生适得其反的效果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d05d/7847700/f997218504d5/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d05d/7847700/f997218504d5/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d05d/7847700/f997218504d5/gr1_lrg.jpg

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