Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Washington, United States.
Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, United States; Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, United States.
Environ Int. 2021 May;150:106409. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2021.106409. Epub 2021 Feb 6.
Findings from epidemiological studies of prenatal phthalate exposure and child cognitive development are inconsistent. Methods for evaluating mixtures of phthalates, such as weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression, have rarely been applied. We developed a new extension of the WQS method to improve specificity of full-sample analyses and applied it to estimate associations between prenatal phthalate mixtures and cognitive and language outcomes in a diverse pregnancy cohort.
We measured 22 phthalate metabolites in third trimester urine from mother-child dyads who completed early childhood visits in the Conditions Affecting Neurodevelopment and Learning in Early childhood (CANDLE) study. Language and cognitive ability were assessed using the Bayley Scales of Infant Development (age 3) and the Stanford Binet-5 (age 4-6), respectively. We used multivariable WQS regression to identify phthalate mixtures that were negatively and positively associated with language score and full-scale IQ, in separate models, adjusted for maternal IQ, race, marital status, smoking, BMI, socioeconomic status (SES), child age, sex, and breastfeeding. We evaluated effect modification by sex and SES. If full sample 95% WQS confidence intervals (which are known to be anti-conservative) excluded the null, we calculated a p-value using a permutation test (p). The performance of this new approach to WQS regression was evaluated in simulated data. We compared the power and type I error rate of WQS regression conducted within datasets split into training and validation samples (WQS) and in the full sample (WQS) to WQS regression with a permutation test (WQS). Individual metabolite associations were explored in secondary analyses.
The analytic sample (N = 1015) was 62.1% Black/31.5% White, and the majority of mothers had a high school education or less (56.7%) at enrollment. Associations between phthalate mixtures and primary outcomes (language score and full-scale IQ) in the full sample were null. Individual metabolites were not associated with IQ, and only one metabolite (mono-benzyl phthalate, MBzP) was associated with Bayley language score (β = -0.68, 95% CI: -1.37, 0.00). In analyses stratified by sex or SES, mixtures were positively and negatively associated with outcomes, but the precision of full-sample WQS regression results were not supported by permutation tests, with one exception. In the lowest SES category, a phthalate mixture dominated by mono-methyl phthalate (MMP) and mono-carboxy-isooctyl phthalate (MCOP) was associated with higher language scores (β = 2.41, full-sample 95%CI: 0.58, 4.24; p = 0.04). Performance testing in simulated data showed that WQS had improved power over WQS (90% versus 56%) and a lower type I error rate than WQS (7% versus 47%).
In the largest study of these relationships to date, we observed predominantly null associations between mixtures of prenatal phthalates and both language and IQ. Our novel extension of WQS regression improved sensitivity to detect true associations by obviating the need to split the data into training and test sets and should be considered for future analyses of exposure mixtures.
产前邻苯二甲酸酯暴露与儿童认知发育的流行病学研究结果不一致。评估邻苯二甲酸酯混合物的方法,如加权分位数和(weighted quantile sum,WQS)回归,很少被应用。我们开发了 WQS 方法的一个新扩展,以提高全样本分析的特异性,并将其应用于多样化妊娠队列中产前邻苯二甲酸酯混合物与认知和语言结果之间的关联研究。
我们测量了在 Conditions Affecting Neurodevelopment and Learning in Early childhood(CANDLE)研究中完成幼儿期访视的母婴对子的第三孕期尿液中的 22 种邻苯二甲酸酯代谢物。使用 Bayley 婴儿发育量表(3 月龄)和斯坦福比奈 -5 量表(4-6 月龄)分别评估语言和认知能力。我们使用多变量 WQS 回归来识别与语言评分和全量表智商呈负相关和正相关的邻苯二甲酸酯混合物,分别在调整了母亲智商、种族、婚姻状况、吸烟、BMI、社会经济状况(SES)、儿童年龄、性别和母乳喂养的模型中进行。我们评估了性别和 SES 的效应修饰作用。如果全样本 95%WQS 置信区间(已知是反保守的)排除了零假设,我们将使用置换检验(p)计算一个 p 值。在模拟数据中评估了这种 WQS 回归新方法的性能。我们比较了在数据集分为训练和验证样本(WQS)和在全样本中进行的 WQS 回归(WQS)与具有置换检验的 WQS 回归(WQS)的效能和 I 型错误率。在二次分析中探索了单个代谢物的关联。
分析样本(N=1015)中 62.1%为黑人/31.5%为白人,大多数母亲在入组时的教育程度为高中或以下(56.7%)。全样本中邻苯二甲酸酯混合物与主要结局(语言评分和全量表智商)之间的关联为零。单个代谢物与智商没有关联,只有一种代谢物(单苄基邻苯二甲酸酯,MBzP)与 Bayley 语言评分相关(β=-0.68,95%CI:-1.37,0.00)。在按性别或 SES 分层的分析中,混合物与结局呈正相关和负相关,但置换检验未能支持全样本 WQS 回归结果的准确性,只有一个例外。在最低 SES 类别中,以单甲基邻苯二甲酸酯(MMP)和单羧基异辛基邻苯二甲酸酯(MCOP)为主的邻苯二甲酸酯混合物与较高的语言评分相关(β=2.41,全样本 95%CI:0.58,4.24;p=0.04)。在模拟数据中的性能测试表明,WQS 比 WQS(90%对 56%)具有更高的效能,且比 WQS(7%对 47%)具有更低的 I 型错误率。
在迄今为止这些关系的最大研究中,我们观察到产前邻苯二甲酸酯混合物与语言和智商之间主要为零关联。我们对 WQS 回归的新扩展通过避免将数据分为训练集和测试集来提高检测真实关联的敏感性,应该考虑用于未来的暴露混合物分析。