• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

关于新冠病毒疾病预测模型的综述。

A review on COVID-19 forecasting models.

作者信息

Rahimi Iman, Chen Fang, Gandomi Amir H

机构信息

Department of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Seri Kembangan, Malaysia.

Data Science Institute, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, 2007 NSW Australia.

出版信息

Neural Comput Appl. 2021 Feb 4:1-11. doi: 10.1007/s00521-020-05626-8.

DOI:10.1007/s00521-020-05626-8
PMID:33564213
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7861008/
Abstract

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has spread to more than 200 countries worldwide, leading to more than 36 million confirmed cases as of October 10, 2020. As such, several machine learning models that can forecast the outbreak globally have been released. This work presents a review and brief analysis of the most important machine learning forecasting models against COVID-19. The work presented in this study possesses two parts. In the first section, a detailed scientometric analysis presents an influential tool for bibliometric analyses, which were performed on COVID-19 data from the Scopus and Web of Science databases. For the above-mentioned analysis, keywords and subject areas are addressed, while the classification of machine learning forecasting models, criteria evaluation, and comparison of solution approaches are discussed in the second section of the work. The conclusion and discussion are provided as the final sections of this study.

摘要

新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)已在全球200多个国家传播,截至2020年10月10日,确诊病例超过3600万例。因此,已经发布了几种能够预测全球疫情爆发的机器学习模型。本文对针对COVID-19的最重要的机器学习预测模型进行了综述和简要分析。本研究中的工作分为两个部分。在第一部分中,详细的科学计量分析展示了一种用于文献计量分析的有影响力的工具,该分析是对来自Scopus和Web of Science数据库的COVID-19数据进行的。对于上述分析,涉及了关键词和主题领域,而机器学习预测模型的分类、标准评估以及解决方案方法的比较则在工作的第二部分进行了讨论。结论和讨论作为本研究的最后部分给出。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/b267f1890ddf/521_2020_5626_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/790f3a5bd751/521_2020_5626_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/25f01c6bf629/521_2020_5626_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/ab8d80a68548/521_2020_5626_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/a56cc9e9d32f/521_2020_5626_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/9f61fac59f5b/521_2020_5626_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/7a718b26236c/521_2020_5626_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/b267f1890ddf/521_2020_5626_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/790f3a5bd751/521_2020_5626_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/25f01c6bf629/521_2020_5626_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/ab8d80a68548/521_2020_5626_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/a56cc9e9d32f/521_2020_5626_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/9f61fac59f5b/521_2020_5626_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/7a718b26236c/521_2020_5626_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e035/7861008/b267f1890ddf/521_2020_5626_Fig7_HTML.jpg

相似文献

1
A review on COVID-19 forecasting models.关于新冠病毒疾病预测模型的综述。
Neural Comput Appl. 2021 Feb 4:1-11. doi: 10.1007/s00521-020-05626-8.
2
Folic acid supplementation and malaria susceptibility and severity among people taking antifolate antimalarial drugs in endemic areas.在流行地区,服用抗叶酸抗疟药物的人群中,叶酸补充剂与疟疾易感性和严重程度的关系。
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022 Feb 1;2(2022):CD014217. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD014217.
3
A COVID-19 Pandemic Artificial Intelligence-Based System With Deep Learning Forecasting and Automatic Statistical Data Acquisition: Development and Implementation Study.一种基于人工智能的新冠肺炎大流行深度学习预测与自动统计数据采集系统:开发与实施研究
J Med Internet Res. 2021 May 20;23(5):e27806. doi: 10.2196/27806.
4
A study of the possible factors affecting COVID-19 spread, severity and mortality and the effect of social distancing on these factors: Machine learning forecasting model.一项关于影响 COVID-19 传播、严重程度和死亡率的可能因素以及社交距离对这些因素影响的研究:机器学习预测模型。
Int J Clin Pract. 2021 Jun;75(6):e14116. doi: 10.1111/ijcp.14116. Epub 2021 Mar 8.
5
Machine Learning, Deep Learning, and Mathematical Models to Analyze Forecasting and Epidemiology of COVID-19: A Systematic Literature Review.机器学习、深度学习和数学模型分析 COVID-19 的预测和流行病学:系统文献回顾。
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Apr 22;19(9):5099. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19095099.
6
An exploration of challenges associated with machine learning for time series forecasting of COVID-19 community spread using wastewater-based epidemiological data.利用基于废水的流行病学数据对 COVID-19 社区传播进行时间序列预测的机器学习相关挑战的探索。
Sci Total Environ. 2023 Feb 1;858(Pt 1):159748. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159748. Epub 2022 Oct 25.
7
Forecasting the long-term trend of COVID-19 epidemic using a dynamic model.利用动态模型预测 COVID-19 疫情的长期趋势。
Sci Rep. 2020 Dec 3;10(1):21122. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-78084-w.
8
A brief review and scientometric analysis on ensemble learning methods for handling COVID-19.关于处理新冠肺炎的集成学习方法的简要综述与科学计量分析
Heliyon. 2024 Feb 20;10(4):e26694. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26694. eCollection 2024 Feb 29.
9
Real-Time Forecasting of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Chinese Provinces: Machine Learning Approach Using Novel Digital Data and Estimates From Mechanistic Models.中国各省新冠疫情的实时预测:利用新型数字数据和机理模型估计的机器学习方法
J Med Internet Res. 2020 Aug 17;22(8):e20285. doi: 10.2196/20285.
10
Using meta-learning to recommend an appropriate time-series forecasting model.运用元学习为时间序列预测模型推荐合适的模型。
BMC Public Health. 2024 Jan 10;24(1):148. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-17627-y.

引用本文的文献

1
A hybrid approach for forecasting peak expiratory flow rate in asthma patients using combined linear regression and random forest model.一种使用线性回归和随机森林模型相结合的混合方法预测哮喘患者的呼气峰值流速。
PLoS One. 2025 Aug 21;20(8):e0326036. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0326036. eCollection 2025.
2
Modeling the Complete Dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic of Germany and Its Federal States Using Multiple Levels of Data.利用多层面数据对德国及其联邦州的新冠疫情完整动态进行建模
Viruses. 2025 Jul 14;17(7):981. doi: 10.3390/v17070981.
3
A Forecast Model for COVID-19 Spread Trends Using Blog and GPS Data from Smartphones.

本文引用的文献

1
Exponentially Increasing Trend of Infected Patients with COVID-19 in Iran: A Comparison of Neural Network and ARIMA Forecasting Models.伊朗新冠肺炎感染患者呈指数增长趋势:神经网络与自回归积分移动平均(ARIMA)预测模型的比较
Iran J Public Health. 2020 Oct;49(Suppl 1):92-100. doi: 10.18502/ijph.v49iS1.3675.
2
Time series modelling to forecast the confirmed and recovered cases of COVID-19.基于时间序列模型预测 COVID-19 的确诊病例和治愈病例数。
Travel Med Infect Dis. 2020 Sep-Oct;37:101742. doi: 10.1016/j.tmaid.2020.101742. Epub 2020 May 13.
3
Forecasting Models for Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A Survey of the State-of-the-Art.
一种利用智能手机博客和GPS数据预测新冠病毒传播趋势的模型
Entropy (Basel). 2025 Jun 26;27(7):686. doi: 10.3390/e27070686.
4
Baseline predictors for 28-day COVID-19 severity and mortality among hospitalized patients: results from the IMPACC study.住院患者中28天COVID-19严重程度和死亡率的基线预测因素:IMPACC研究结果
Front Med (Lausanne). 2025 Jul 4;12:1604388. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1604388. eCollection 2025.
5
Prognostic models for predicting patient arrivals in emergency departments: an updated systematic review and research agenda.预测急诊科患者就诊情况的预后模型:最新系统评价与研究议程
BMC Emerg Med. 2025 Jul 1;25(1):106. doi: 10.1186/s12873-025-01250-8.
6
Novel deep learning approach to model and predict the spread of COVID-19.用于对2019冠状病毒病传播进行建模和预测的新型深度学习方法。
Intell Syst Appl. 2022 May;14:200068. doi: 10.1016/j.iswa.2022.200068. Epub 2022 Mar 16.
7
An ensemble approach improves the prediction of the COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea.一种集成方法改进了韩国新冠疫情的预测。
J Glob Health. 2025 Mar 28;15:04079. doi: 10.7189/jogh.15.04079.
8
The accuracy of forecasted hospital admission for respiratory tract infections in children aged 0-5 years for 2017/2023.2017/2023年0至5岁儿童呼吸道感染预测住院情况的准确性。
Front Pediatr. 2025 Jan 6;12:1419595. doi: 10.3389/fped.2024.1419595. eCollection 2024.
9
Impact of COVID-19 vaccinations in India: a state-wise analysis.2019冠状病毒病疫苗接种在印度的影响:一项邦级分析。
BMC Public Health. 2025 Jan 20;25(1):219. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-21401-7.
10
Enhancing COVID-19 forecasting precision through the integration of compartmental models, machine learning and variants.通过整合房室模型、机器学习和变体来提高 COVID-19 预测精度。
Sci Rep. 2024 Aug 19;14(1):19220. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-69660-5.
冠状病毒病(COVID-19)预测模型:最新技术综述
SN Comput Sci. 2020;1(4):197. doi: 10.1007/s42979-020-00209-9. Epub 2020 Jun 11.
4
Spatial prediction of COVID-19 epidemic using ARIMA techniques in India.在印度使用自回归积分滑动平均(ARIMA)技术对新冠肺炎疫情进行空间预测。
Model Earth Syst Environ. 2021;7(2):1385-1391. doi: 10.1007/s40808-020-00890-y. Epub 2020 Jul 16.
5
A machine learning forecasting model for COVID-19 pandemic in India.印度新冠肺炎疫情的机器学习预测模型。
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess. 2020;34(7):959-972. doi: 10.1007/s00477-020-01827-8. Epub 2020 May 30.
6
Evolutionary modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic in fifteen most affected countries.15个受影响最严重国家的新冠疫情进化模型
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Nov;140:110118. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110118. Epub 2020 Jul 17.
7
Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19.新冠疫情的偏导数非线性全局大流行机器学习预测
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Oct;139:110056. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110056. Epub 2020 Jun 25.
8
A python based support vector regression model for prediction of COVID19 cases in India.一种基于Python的支持向量回归模型,用于预测印度的新冠肺炎病例。
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Sep;138:109942. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109942. Epub 2020 May 31.
9
COVID-19 Trends and Forecast in the Eastern Mediterranean Region With a Particular Focus on Pakistan.东地中海区域新冠疫情趋势与预测,特别关注巴基斯坦
Cureus. 2020 Jun 12;12(6):e8582. doi: 10.7759/cureus.8582.
10
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): Forecast of an Emerging Urgency in Pakistan.2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19):巴基斯坦新出现的紧急情况预测
Cureus. 2020 May 28;12(5):e8346. doi: 10.7759/cureus.8346.