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COVID-19 首发无症状患者的临床转归:一项韩国全国性队列研究。

Clinical outcomes of initially asymptomatic patients with COVID-19: a Korean nationwide cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Kangnam Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Hallym University Kidney Research Institute, Seoul, Korea.

出版信息

Ann Med. 2021 Dec;53(1):357-364. doi: 10.1080/07853890.2021.1884744.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This study was performed to compare severe clinical outcome between initially asymptomatic and symptomatic infections and to identify risk factors associated with high patient mortality among initially asymptomatic patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective, nationwide cohort study, we included 5621 patients who had been discharged from isolation or died from COVID-19 by 30 April 2020. The mortality rate and admission rate to intensive care unit (ICU) were compared between initially asymptomatic and symptomatic patients. We established a prediction model for patient mortality through risk factor analysis among initially asymptomatic patients.

RESULTS

The prevalence of initially asymptomatic patients upon admission was 25.8%. The mortality rates were not different between groups (3.3% vs. 4.5%,  = .17). However, initially symptomatic patients were more likely to receive ICU care compared to initially asymptomatic patients (4.1% vs. 1.0%,  < .0001). The age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index score (CCIS) was the most potent predictor for patient mortality in initially asymptomatic patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The mortality risk was not determined by the initial presence of symptom among hospitalized COVID-19 patients. The CCIS was the most potent predictors for mortality. The clinicians should predict the risk of death by evaluating age and comorbidities but not the initial presence of symptom. Key messages The mortality rate was not different between initially asymptomatic and symptomatic patients. Symptomatic patients were more likely to admitted to the intensive care unit. Age and comorbidities were the potent risk factors for mortality.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在比较最初无症状和有症状感染之间的严重临床结局,并确定与最初无症状患者高死亡率相关的危险因素。

方法

在这项回顾性的全国性队列研究中,我们纳入了 5621 名在 2020 年 4 月 30 日前从隔离中出院或因 COVID-19 死亡的患者。比较了最初无症状和有症状患者的死亡率和入住重症监护病房(ICU)的入院率。我们通过对最初无症状患者的危险因素分析,建立了患者死亡率的预测模型。

结果

最初无症状患者入院时的患病率为 25.8%。两组之间的死亡率没有差异(3.3% vs. 4.5%,= 0.17)。然而,与最初无症状患者相比,最初有症状的患者更有可能接受 ICU 护理(4.1% vs. 1.0%,<.0001)。年龄调整的 Charlson 合并症指数评分(CCIS)是最初无症状患者死亡的最强预测因素。

结论

住院 COVID-19 患者的初始症状存在与否并不能确定死亡风险。CCIS 是死亡的最强预测因素。临床医生应该通过评估年龄和合并症来预测死亡风险,而不是初始症状的存在。

关键信息

最初无症状和有症状患者的死亡率无差异。有症状的患者更有可能入住重症监护病房。年龄和合并症是死亡的强烈危险因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/63b8/7889197/7720ab6cdb1f/IANN_A_1884744_F0001_C.jpg

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