Department of Radiology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA; Department of Radiology, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
International Atomic Energy Agency, Division of Human Health, Vienna, Austria; Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Institute, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt; Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan.
Lancet Oncol. 2021 Apr;22(4):e136-e172. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(20)30751-8. Epub 2021 Mar 4.
The diagnosis and treatment of patients with cancer requires access to imaging to ensure accurate management decisions and optimal outcomes. Our global assessment of imaging and nuclear medicine resources identified substantial shortages in equipment and workforce, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). A microsimulation model of 11 cancers showed that the scale-up of imaging would avert 3·2% (2·46 million) of all 76·0 million deaths caused by the modelled cancers worldwide between 2020 and 2030, saving 54·92 million life-years. A comprehensive scale-up of imaging, treatment, and care quality would avert 9·55 million (12·5%) of all cancer deaths caused by the modelled cancers worldwide, saving 232·30 million life-years. Scale-up of imaging would cost US$6·84 billion in 2020-30 but yield lifetime productivity gains of $1·23 trillion worldwide, a net return of $179·19 per $1 invested. Combining the scale-up of imaging, treatment, and quality of care would provide a net benefit of $2·66 trillion and a net return of $12·43 per $1 invested. With the use of a conservative approach regarding human capital, the scale-up of imaging alone would provide a net benefit of $209·46 billion and net return of $31·61 per $1 invested. With comprehensive scale-up, the worldwide net benefit using the human capital approach is $340·42 billion and the return per dollar invested is $2·46. These improved health and economic outcomes hold true across all geographical regions. We propose actions and investments that would enhance access to imaging equipment, workforce capacity, digital technology, radiopharmaceuticals, and research and training programmes in LMICs, to produce massive health and economic benefits and reduce the burden of cancer globally.
癌症患者的诊断和治疗需要进行影像学检查,以确保做出准确的管理决策和获得最佳结果。我们对全球影像和核医学资源的评估发现,设备和劳动力资源严重短缺,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家。对 11 种癌症的微观模拟模型表明,扩大影像学规模将避免全球范围内 2020 年至 2030 年间由所研究癌症导致的 7600 万死亡人数中的 3.2%(246 万人),并延长 5492 万年的生命。全面扩大影像学、治疗和护理质量将避免全球范围内由所研究癌症导致的所有癌症死亡人数中的 9.55%(1250 万人),延长 2323 亿年的生命。2020 年至 2030 年,扩大影像学规模将花费 68.4 亿美元,但将在全球范围内产生 1.23 万亿美元的终身生产力收益,投资回报率为每 1 美元 179.19 美元。将影像学、治疗和护理质量的扩大结合起来,将提供 2.66 万亿美元的净效益和每投资 1 美元 12.43 美元的投资回报率。在对人力资本采用保守方法的情况下,仅扩大影像学规模就将提供 2094.6 亿美元的净效益和每投资 1 美元 31.61 美元的投资回报率。在全面扩大规模的情况下,采用人力资本方法,全球的净效益为 3404.2 亿美元,投资回报率为每投资 1 美元 2.46 美元。这些改善的健康和经济效益在所有地理区域都适用。我们建议采取行动和投资,以加强在低收入和中等收入国家获取影像设备、劳动力能力、数字技术、放射性药物以及研究和培训方案的机会,从而在全球范围内带来巨大的健康和经济效益,并减轻癌症负担。