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气候变化政策在巴基斯坦的政策、计划和战略之间的一致性——对中巴经济走廊计划的影响。

Climate Change Policy Coherence across Policies, Plans, and Strategies in Pakistan-Implications for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor Plan.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Science, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan.

Environmental Assessment and Management Research Centre, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.

出版信息

Environ Manage. 2021 May;67(5):793-810. doi: 10.1007/s00267-021-01449-y. Epub 2021 Mar 17.

Abstract

Climate Change (CC) adaptation and mitigation policy coherence (PC) across sectors is essential to effectively address CC challenges and support synergies. Pakistan is highly vulnerable to CC. In this paper, the extent to which Pakistan's national and provincial water, agriculture, and energy sector policies, development plans and strategies are aligned in a CC policy coherent manner is established. In this context, a qualitative content document analysis with associated scoring is used to assess government documents. Furthermore, implications of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor Initiative (CPEC; 2017-2030), the biggest infrastructure investment program ever in Pakistan, are discussed. An important result is that sectoral policies are found to have different degrees of PC. Better coherence is found at federal than at provincial levels. Furthermore, CC policies are found to be more coherently addressed in water and agriculture policies than in energy policies. It is suggested that to achieve higher levels of CC PC, federal and provincial governments should establish mechanisms of intergovernmental consultation for policy-making and cross-sectoral planning, especially in the energy sector. Our findings can help the Government of Pakistan to transform CPEC into a model green Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in the region. In this context, there are important implications with regards to e.g., reducing coal-based energy projects and environmentally damaging infrastructure activities in sensitive ecosystems. With this paper, the authors want to raise awareness of the key importance of CC PC, particular in context of the BRI. Many countries participating in the initiative have carbon reduction targets in place.

摘要

气候变化(CC)适应和缓解政策的一致性(PC)对于有效应对 CC 挑战和支持协同作用至关重要。巴基斯坦极易受到 CC 的影响。本文旨在确定巴基斯坦国家和省级水、农业和能源部门政策、发展计划和战略在 CC 政策一致的情况下的协调程度。在这种情况下,使用定性内容文件分析和相关评分来评估政府文件。此外,还讨论了中国-巴基斯坦经济走廊倡议(CPEC;2017-2030 年)的影响,该倡议是巴基斯坦有史以来最大的基础设施投资项目。一个重要的结果是,发现部门政策具有不同程度的 PC。在联邦层面上比在省级层面上发现更好的一致性。此外,在水和农业政策中比在能源政策中发现 CC 政策得到了更一致的处理。建议联邦和省政府建立政府间协商机制,以进行政策制定和跨部门规划,特别是在能源部门,以实现更高水平的 CC PC。我们的研究结果可以帮助巴基斯坦政府将 CPEC 转变为该地区的绿色“一带一路”倡议(BRI)模式。在这方面,对于减少煤炭为基础的能源项目和在敏感生态系统中具有环境破坏性的基础设施活动等方面具有重要意义。本文旨在提高对 CC PC 的关键重要性的认识,特别是在 BRI 的背景下。许多参与该倡议的国家都制定了碳减排目标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e705/8032581/f2ad01a70970/267_2021_1449_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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