Nechifor Victor, Ramos Maria Priscila, Ferrari Emanuele, Laichena Joshua, Kihiu Evelyne, Omanyo Daniel, Musamali Rodgers, Kiriga Benson
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Seville, Spain.
Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Departamento de Economía, CONICET-Universidad de Buenos Aires, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política de Buenos Aires (IIEP-Baires), Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Glob Food Sec. 2021 Mar;28:100514. doi: 10.1016/j.gfs.2021.100514.
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all Sub-Saharan economies through a multitude of impact channels. The study determines the medium-term macroeconomic outcomes of the pandemic on the Kenyan economy and links the results with a detailed food security and nutrition microsimulation module. It thus evaluates the effectiveness of the adopted government measures to reduce the negative outcomes on food security and to enable economic recovery at aggregate, sectoral and household levels. Through income support measures, the food sector and food demand partially recover. However, 1.3% of households still fall below calorie intake thresholds, many of which are in rural areas. Results also indicate that the state of food security in Kenya remains vulnerable to the evolution of the pandemic abroad.
新冠疫情通过多种影响渠道波及了撒哈拉以南的所有经济体。该研究确定了疫情对肯尼亚经济的中期宏观经济影响,并将结果与一个详细的粮食安全和营养微观模拟模块相联系。因此,它评估了政府为减少对粮食安全的负面影响以及在总体、部门和家庭层面实现经济复苏而采取的措施的有效性。通过收入支持措施,食品部门和食品需求部分得到恢复。然而,仍有1.3%的家庭卡路里摄入量低于阈值,其中许多家庭位于农村地区。结果还表明,肯尼亚的粮食安全状况仍然容易受到国外疫情发展的影响。