Department of Liver Surgery, Liver Transplantation Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37 GuoXue Alley, Chengdu 610041, China.
West China School of Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No. 37 GuoXue Alley, Chengdu 610041, China.
Int J Med Sci. 2021 Feb 6;18(7):1711-1720. doi: 10.7150/ijms.53602. eCollection 2021.
This study aimed to establish and validate a radiomics nomogram comprised of clinical factors and radiomics signatures to predict prognosis of primary hepatic sarcomatoid carcinoma (PHSC) patients after surgical resection. In this retrospective study, 79 patients with pathological confirmation of PHSC and underwent surgical resection were recruited. A radiomics nomogram was developed by radiomics signatures and independent clinical risk factors selecting from multivariate Cox regression. All patients were stratified as high risk and low risk by nomogram. Model performance and clinical usefulness were assessed by C-index, calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA) and survival curve. A total of 79 PHSC were included with 1-year and 3-year overall survival rates of 63.3% and 35.4%, respectively. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method selected 3 features. Multivariate Cox analysis found six independent prognostic factors. The radiomics nomogram showed a significant prediction value with overall survival (HR: 7.111, 95%CI: 3.933-12.858, P<0.001). C-index of nomogram was 0.855 and 0.829 in training and validation set, respectively. Decision curve analysis validated the clinical utility of this nomogram. There was a significant difference in the 1-year and 3-year survival rates of stratified high-risk and low-risk patients in the whole cohort (30.6% vs. 90.1% and 5.6% vs. 62.4%, respectively, P < 0.001). This radiomics nomogram serve as a potential tool for predicting prognosis of PHSC after surgical resection, and help to identify high risk patients who may obtain feeble survival benefit from surgical resection.
本研究旨在建立并验证一个基于临床因素和放射组学特征的列线图,以预测接受手术切除的原发性肝肉瘤样癌(PHSC)患者的预后。在这项回顾性研究中,共纳入了 79 例经病理证实为 PHSC 并接受手术切除的患者。通过多变量 Cox 回归选择放射组学特征和独立临床危险因素来建立放射组学列线图。根据列线图将所有患者分为高危组和低危组。通过 C 指数、校准曲线、决策曲线分析(DCA)和生存曲线评估模型性能和临床实用性。共纳入 79 例 PHSC,1 年和 3 年总生存率分别为 63.3%和 35.4%。最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)方法选择了 3 个特征。多变量 Cox 分析发现了 6 个独立的预后因素。放射组学列线图对总生存具有显著的预测价值(HR:7.111,95%CI:3.933-12.858,P<0.001)。在训练集和验证集中,列线图的 C 指数分别为 0.855 和 0.829。决策曲线分析验证了该列线图的临床实用性。在整个队列中,高危组和低危组患者的 1 年和 3 年生存率差异有统计学意义(分别为 30.6%比 90.1%和 5.6%比 62.4%,P<0.001)。该放射组学列线图可作为预测 PHSC 手术切除后预后的潜在工具,并有助于识别可能从手术切除中获得微弱生存获益的高危患者。