Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA.
Nat Commun. 2021 Apr 13;12(1):1947. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22249-2.
Superfund sites could affect life expectancy (LE) via increasing the likelihood of exposure to toxic chemicals. Here, we assess to what extent such presence could alter the LE independently and in the context of sociodemographic determinants. A nationwide geocoded statistical modeling at the census tract level was undertaken to estimate the magnitude of impact. Results showed a significant difference in LE among census tracts with at least one Superfund site and their neighboring tracts with no sites. The presence of a Superfund site could cause a decrease of -0.186 ± 0.027 years in LE. This adverse effect could be as high as -1.22 years in tracts with Superfund sites and high sociodemographic disadvantage. Specific characteristics of Superfund sites such as being prone to flooding and the absence of a cleanup strategy could amplify the adverse effect. Furthermore, the presence of Superfund sites amplifies the negative influence of sociodemographic factors at lower LEs.
超级基金站点可能会通过增加接触有毒化学物质的可能性来影响预期寿命(LE)。在这里,我们评估这种存在在多大程度上可以独立于社会人口决定因素并在其背景下改变 LE。在人口普查区层面进行了全国范围的地理编码统计建模,以估计影响的程度。结果表明,至少有一个超级基金站点的人口普查区与没有站点的相邻人口普查区之间的 LE 存在显著差异。超级基金站点的存在可能导致 LE 减少 0.186±0.027 年。在超级基金站点和社会人口劣势较高的地区,这种不利影响可能高达 1.22 年。超级基金站点的特定特征,如容易发生洪水和缺乏清理策略,可能会放大这种不利影响。此外,超级基金站点的存在放大了社会人口因素在较低 LE 下的负面影响。