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整合危机管理的线上和线下数据:COVID 危机期间的线上地理位置情绪、政策响应和本地流动性。

Integrating online and offline data for crisis management: Online geolocalized emotion, policy response, and local mobility during the COVID crisis.

机构信息

Unit of Human Communication, Development, and Information Sciences, Faculty of Education, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.

Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Apr 19;11(1):8514. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-88010-3.

Abstract

Integrating online and offline data is critical for uncovering the interdependence between policy and public emotional and behavioral responses in order to aid the development of effective spatially targeted interventions during crises. As the COVID-19 pandemic began to sweep across the US it elicited a wide spectrum of responses, both online and offline, across the population. Here, we analyze around 13 million geotagged tweets in 49 cities across the US from the first few months of the pandemic to assess regional dependence in online sentiments with respect to a few major COVID-19 related topics, and how these sentiments correlate with policy development and human mobility. In this study, we observe universal trends in overall and topic-based sentiments across cities over the time period studied. We also find that this online geolocalized emotion is significantly impacted by key COVID-19 policy events. However, there is significant variation in the emotional responses to these policies across the cities studied. Online emotional responses are also found to be a good indicator for predicting offline local mobility, while the correlations between these emotional responses and local cases and deaths are relatively weak. Our findings point to a feedback loop between policy development, public emotional responses, and local mobility, as well as provide new insights for integrating online and offline data for crisis management.

摘要

整合线上和线下数据对于揭示政策与公众情绪和行为反应之间的相互依存关系至关重要,以便在危机期间为有针对性的空间干预措施的制定提供帮助。随着 COVID-19 疫情在美国的蔓延,它引发了人口中广泛的线上和线下的反应。在这里,我们分析了疫情开始后的头几个月来自美国 49 个城市的大约 1300 万个带有地理标记的推文,以评估与几个主要 COVID-19 相关话题的在线情绪的区域依赖性,以及这些情绪如何与政策制定和人类流动相关。在这项研究中,我们观察到在研究期间城市之间的整体和基于主题的情绪的普遍趋势。我们还发现,这种线上的本地化情绪受到关键 COVID-19 政策事件的显著影响。然而,在研究的城市中,对这些政策的情绪反应存在显著差异。在线情绪反应也被发现是预测线下本地流动性的一个很好的指标,而这些情绪反应与本地病例和死亡之间的相关性相对较弱。我们的研究结果表明,政策制定、公众情绪反应和本地流动性之间存在一个反馈循环,也为整合线上和线下数据进行危机管理提供了新的见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f23a/8055662/a58455ebe61f/41598_2021_88010_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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