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中国包头地区气温对成人社区获得性肺炎住院的影响。

The effect of air temperature on hospital admission of adults with community acquired pneumonia in Baotou, China.

机构信息

Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Academy of Traditional Medicine, No. 11 Jian Kang Street, Hohhot, 010020, Inner Mongolia, China.

Inner Mongolia Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hohhot, 010020, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Apr 30;11(1):9353. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-88783-7.

Abstract

The relationship between air temperature and the hospital admission of adult patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) was analyzed. The hospitalization data pertaining to adult CAP patients (age ≥ 18 years) in two tertiary comprehensive hospitals in Baotou, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China from 2014 to 2018 and meteorological data there in the corresponding period were collected. The exposure-response relationship between the daily average temperature and the hospital admission of adult CAP patients was quantified by using a distributed lag non-linear model. A total of 4466 cases of adult patients with CAP were admitted. After eliminating some confounding factors such as relative humidity, wind speed, air pressure, long-term trend, and seasonal trend, a lower temperature was found to be associated with a higher risk of adult CAP. Compared to 21 °C, lower temperature range of 4 to -12 °C was associated with a greater number of CAP hospitalizations among those aged ≥ 65 years, and the highest relative risk (RR) was 2.80 (95% CI 1.15-6.80) at a temperature of - 10 °C. For those < 65 years, lower temperature was not related to CAP hospitalizations. Cumulative lag RRs of low temperature with CAP hospitalizations indicate that the risk associated with colder temperatures appeared at a lag of 0-7 days. For those ≥ 65 years, the cumulative RR of CAP hospitalizations over lagging days 0-5 was 1.89 (95% CI 1.01-3. 56). In brief, the lower temperature had age-specific effects on CAP hospitalizations in Baotou, China, especially among those aged ≥ 65 years.

摘要

分析了空气温度与社区获得性肺炎(CAP)成年患者住院之间的关系。收集了 2014 年至 2018 年期间内蒙古自治区包头市两家三级综合医院成年 CAP 患者(年龄≥18 岁)的住院数据和同期的气象数据。采用分布式滞后非线性模型定量分析了日平均温度与成年 CAP 患者住院之间的暴露-反应关系。共收治 4466 例成年 CAP 患者。在消除了相对湿度、风速、气压、长期趋势和季节性趋势等一些混杂因素后,发现较低的温度与成人 CAP 风险增加有关。与 21°C 相比,65 岁及以上年龄组中 4 至-12°C 的低温范围与更多的 CAP 住院相关,温度为-10°C 时 CAP 住院的相对风险(RR)最高为 2.80(95%CI 1.15-6.80)。对于<65 岁的人群,低温与 CAP 住院无关。低温与 CAP 住院相关的滞后 RR 表明,与较冷温度相关的风险出现在滞后 0-7 天。对于 65 岁及以上的人群,滞后 0-5 天的 CAP 住院累积 RR 为 1.89(95%CI 1.01-3.56)。总之,低温对中国包头的 CAP 住院有特定年龄的影响,尤其是对 65 岁及以上的人群。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/84f6/8087821/b697491d4ca5/41598_2021_88783_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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