Business Economics Group, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, 6700 EW the Netherlands.
Veterinary Medicine Teaching and Research Center, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California-Davis, Tulare 93274.
J Dairy Sci. 2021 Aug;104(8):8931-8946. doi: 10.3168/jds.2020-20016. Epub 2021 Apr 30.
In this study, our objectives were to evaluate the economic feasibility of implementing selective dry cow therapy (SDCT) in large US herds and to estimate the potential reduction in antibiotic use around the dry period if SDCT management is adopted. Cow-level data were obtained from the Dairy Herd Improvement Association (AgriTech, Visalia, CA) and individual dairy herds in California. Logistic regression models were used to predict the incidence risk of subclinical and clinical mastitis in the subsequent lactation for 96 last test-day somatic cell score categories. Linear programming was used to optimize the costs of dry cow therapy in 3 simulated large US dairy herds with different bulk tank somatic cell counts (BTSCC). The objective function was aimed at minimization of the total cost of mastitis around the dry period (TCMD), under a varying constraint of the maximum percentage of cows dried off with antibiotics. A sensitivity analysis was performed on milk price, dry-off antibiotic price, and risk ratio of mastitis in the subsequent lactation when no antibiotics and only teat sealant was used at dry-off. For all situations, blanket dry cow therapy was more expensive than SDCT. In a herd with medium BTSCC, the TCMD was $54.7 per primiparous dry cow and $58.5 per multiparous dry cow annually. In the optimal economic situation where SDCT was used, only 30% of primiparous cows received antibiotics, leading to a TCMD of $52.4 per primiparous dry cow, whereas 88% of multiparous cows received antibiotics, at a cost of $58.2 per multiparous dry cow. This corresponded with an overall reduction of 29% in the use of antibiotics around the dry period in a conservative scenario. This study showed that it is economically feasible to reduce antibiotic use associated with dry cow therapy in large US dairy herds. This contributes to the efforts of reducing antibiotic use worldwide.
本研究旨在评估在美国大型奶牛场实施选择性干奶牛治疗(SDCT)的经济可行性,并估计如果采用 SDCT 管理,干奶期前后抗生素使用量的潜在减少量。奶牛层面的数据来自奶牛改良协会(加利福尼亚州维塞利亚的 AgriTech)和加利福尼亚州的个别奶牛场。使用逻辑回归模型预测了 96 个最后一次体细胞评分类别下后续泌乳期亚临床和临床乳腺炎的发病风险。线性规划用于优化 3 个模拟的美国大型奶牛场的干奶牛治疗成本,这些奶牛场的牛奶体细胞计数(BTSCC)不同。目标函数旨在最小化干奶期前后乳腺炎总成本(TCMD),同时抗生素干奶牛的最大比例作为约束。对牛奶价格、干奶期抗生素价格和无抗生素且仅使用乳头封闭剂时下一个泌乳期乳腺炎风险比进行了敏感性分析。在所有情况下, blanket dry cow therapy 都比 SDCT 昂贵。在 BTSCC 中等的牛群中,每头初产干奶牛的 TCMD 为 54.7 美元,每头经产干奶牛为 58.5 美元。在使用 SDCT 的最佳经济情况下,只有 30%的初产奶牛接受抗生素治疗,导致每头初产干奶牛的 TCMD 为 52.4 美元,而 88%的经产奶牛接受抗生素治疗,每头经产干奶牛的成本为 58.2 美元。这相当于在保守情景下,干奶期前后抗生素使用量总体减少了 29%。本研究表明,在美国大型奶牛场减少与干奶牛治疗相关的抗生素使用是经济可行的。这有助于减少全球抗生素的使用。